Vermont
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 954 (#177) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1006 (#157) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1037 (#118) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -7.5 (#242) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -5.6 (#227) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.439 (#185) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.213 (#244) | AdjNet -11.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.208 (#243) | AdjNet -11.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.364 (#233) | AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 74.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.473 (#176) | AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 71.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.389 (#208) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.410 (#193) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1021 (#140) | RD 150 | GP 28 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-19 | @ | Connecticut | L | 52 - 89 |
| 1999-11-21 | @ | Yale | L | 69 - 72 |
| 1999-11-23 | @ | Boston College | L | 63 - 91 |
| 1999-11-29 | @ | Ohio State | L | 51 - 74 |
| 1999-12-02 | @ | Albany (NY) | W | 72 - 61 |
| 1999-12-04 | vs | Lehigh | W | 71 - 59 |
| 1999-12-11 | @ | Delaware | L | 71 - 79 |
| 1999-12-19 | @ | Holy Cross | W | 78 - 69 |
| 2000-01-02 | vs | Harvard | W | 78 - 71 |
| 2000-01-04 | @ | Hartford | W | 69 - 67 |
| 2000-01-08 | vs | New Hampshire | L | 75 - 84 |
| 2000-01-10 | vs | Maine | W | 76 - 75 |
| 2000-01-14 | @ | Hofstra | L | 52 - 86 |
| 2000-01-16 | @ | Drexel | L | 42 - 57 |
| 2000-01-18 | @ | Towson | L | 67 - 74 |
| 2000-01-21 | vs | Northeastern | W | 85 - 82 |
| 2000-01-23 | vs | Boston University | W | 86 - 85 |
| 2000-01-26 | @ | Dartmouth | W | 85 - 66 |
| 2000-01-29 | vs | Hartford | W | 87 - 83 |
| 2000-02-03 | @ | Maine | L | 63 - 66 |
| 2000-02-05 | @ | New Hampshire | W | 90 - 82 |
| 2000-02-10 | vs | Drexel | W | 73 - 72 |
| 2000-02-12 | vs | Hofstra | W | 73 - 65 |
| 2000-02-17 | @ | Boston University | W | 90 - 62 |
| 2000-02-19 | @ | Northeastern | W | 77 - 68 |
| 2000-02-24 | vs | Delaware | L | 72 - 74 |
| 2000-02-26 | vs | Towson | W | 79 - 64 |
| 2000-03-04 | N | Drexel | L | 59 - 71 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.