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Vermont

Also known as: Vermont Catamounts
Program History

Model Outputs

1999-2000
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 954 (#177) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1006 (#157) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +114 elo More โ†’ 1037 (#118) HCA +114 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -7.5 (#242) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -5.6 (#227) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.439 (#185) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.4 More โ†’ 0.213 (#244) AdjNet -11.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.6 More โ†’ 0.208 (#243) AdjNet -11.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 74.3 More โ†’ 0.364 (#233) AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 74.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 71.7 More โ†’ 0.473 (#176) AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 71.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.389 (#208) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.410 (#193) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 28 More โ†’ 1021 (#140) RD 150 | GP 28

2000 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1999-11-19 @ Connecticut L 52 - 89
1999-11-21 @ Yale L 69 - 72
1999-11-23 @ Boston College L 63 - 91
1999-11-29 @ Ohio State L 51 - 74
1999-12-02 @ Albany (NY) W 72 - 61
1999-12-04 vs Lehigh W 71 - 59
1999-12-11 @ Delaware L 71 - 79
1999-12-19 @ Holy Cross W 78 - 69
2000-01-02 vs Harvard W 78 - 71
2000-01-04 @ Hartford W 69 - 67
2000-01-08 vs New Hampshire L 75 - 84
2000-01-10 vs Maine W 76 - 75
2000-01-14 @ Hofstra L 52 - 86
2000-01-16 @ Drexel L 42 - 57
2000-01-18 @ Towson L 67 - 74
2000-01-21 vs Northeastern W 85 - 82
2000-01-23 vs Boston University W 86 - 85
2000-01-26 @ Dartmouth W 85 - 66
2000-01-29 vs Hartford W 87 - 83
2000-02-03 @ Maine L 63 - 66
2000-02-05 @ New Hampshire W 90 - 82
2000-02-10 vs Drexel W 73 - 72
2000-02-12 vs Hofstra W 73 - 65
2000-02-17 @ Boston University W 90 - 62
2000-02-19 @ Northeastern W 77 - 68
2000-02-24 vs Delaware L 72 - 74
2000-02-26 vs Towson W 79 - 64
2000-03-04 N Drexel L 59 - 71

2000 Roster

No roster data available for this season.