Vermont
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
69.5
PPG
64.5
Opp
+5.0
Margin
44.2%
FG%
40.6%
3P%
68.8%
FT%
31.8
RPG
16.3
APG
11.5
TO
64.3
Est. poss./game
57.2
Adj PPG
64.9
Adj Opp PPG
#225
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 984 (#173) | Preseason prior 985 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1092, returning -47, transfers -60, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 970 (#186) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 970 (#186) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.0 (#190) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.0 (#191) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.249 (#228) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.374 (#210) | AdjNet -8.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.391 (#206) | AdjNet -7.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.387 (#225) | AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 64.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.386 (#225) | AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 65.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.405 (#204) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.405 (#205) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 966 (#191) | RD 175 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.401 (#193) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Keene State Owls | W | 96 - 37 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Quinnipiac Bobcats | W | 76 - 66 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ | Fairfield Stags | L | 50 - 74 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | Oregon Ducks | L | 56 - 81 |
| 2026-11-15 | vs | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-19 | vs | High Point Panthers | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Catherine Gilwee
|
G | 4 | 31.5 | 15.2 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 10.2 | -2 | 4 | -0.5 | -0.6 | 60.0 | 63.6 | 100.0 | -1.12 | 71.5 | 68.8 |
Emma Haan
|
G | 4 | 31.2 | 13.5 | 6.2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 10.2 | 12.2 | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 43.9 | 50.0 | 71.4 | -1.11 | 61.3 | 59.8 |
Sienna Papanastasiou-Thomas
|
G | 4 | 28.5 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 7.5 | 4.2 | 28 | 4 | 7.0 | 9.9 | 36.7 | 50.0 | 42.9 | 2.22 | 48.4 | 48.3 |
Jacklynn Hosier
|
G | 4 | 31.0 | 7.8 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 7.5 | 6.8 | 5 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 40.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -1.59 | 48.8 | 45.0 |
Neta Mayshar
|
G | 4 | 16.2 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 1 | 4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 47.6 | 46.2 | 100.0 | -1.75 | 64.0 | 61.9 |
Savanna Creal
|
F | 4 | 20.0 | 6.5 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 9.5 | 7 | 4 | 1.8 | 3.7 | 45.0 | 0 | 80.0 | -0.58 | 53.3 | 45.0 |
Madison Hall
|
F | 4 | 17.2 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 10 | 4 | 2.5 | 6.1 | 30.4 | 21.1 | 50.0 | -0.42 | 40.4 | 39.1 |
Meja Jägerskog
|
F | 4 | 13.2 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 12 | 4 | 3.0 | 9.1 | 46.2 | 0 | 37.5 | -0.72 | 45.4 | 46.2 |
Lia Hanson
|
G | 2 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 58.3 | 58.3 |
Piper Risdon
|
F | 2 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 10 | 1 | 10.0 | 43.6 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.94 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
Malia Lenz
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Maren Maxon
|
G | 2 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 10 | 1 | 10.0 | 43.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.37 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Maisie Keyes
|
G | 2 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10 | 1 | 10.0 | 68.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Arantxa Portalez
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
231 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Catherine GilweeEmma HaanJacklynn HosierMadison HallSavanna Creal
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 39-62 | 62.9 | 78 | Catherine Gilwee 23% (18 pts) | Savanna Creal 21% (16 pts) | Savanna Creal 26% (6 misses) | Emma Haan 17% (4 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 10-36 | 27.8 | 20 | Catherine Gilwee 40% (8 pts) | Jacklynn Hosier 20% (4 pts) | Jacklynn Hosier 27% (7 misses) | Savanna Creal 15% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-10 | 30.0 | 6 | Catherine Gilwee 33% (2 pts) | Jacklynn Hosier 33% (2 pts) | Catherine Gilwee 29% (2 misses) | Sienna Papanastasiou-Thomas 29% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 3-11 | 27.3 | 6 | Emma Haan 67% (4 pts) | Madison Hall 33% (2 pts) | Catherine Gilwee 25% (2 misses) | Sienna Papanastasiou-Thomas 25% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 6-10 | 60.0 | 12 | Catherine Gilwee 50% (6 pts) | Lia Hanson 17% (2 pts) | Catherine Gilwee 50% (2 misses) | Madison Hall 25% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 4-7 | 57.1 | 12 | Emma Haan 50% (6 pts) | Sienna Papanastasiou-Thomas 50% (6 pts) | Emma Haan 33% (1 misses) | Maren Maxon 33% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 0-7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Madison Hall 43% (3 misses) | Emma Haan 29% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 18-40 | 45.0 | 54 | Catherine Gilwee 28% (15 pts) | Emma Haan 17% (9 pts) | Madison Hall 32% (7 misses) | Emma Haan 27% (6 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 5-12 | 41.7 | 15 | Emma Haan 60% (9 pts) | Neta Mayshar 20% (3 pts) | Madison Hall 43% (3 misses) | Sienna Papanastasiou-Thomas 29% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 14-36 | 38.9 | 42 | Emma Haan 36% (15 pts) | Sienna Papanastasiou-Thomas 21% (9 pts) | Jacklynn Hosier 32% (7 misses) | Emma Haan 23% (5 misses) |