Vassar
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1166 (#74) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1148 (#85) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1098 (#97) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +2.2 (#96) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +2.7 (#304) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.470 (#204) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.334 (#172) | AdjNet -6.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.325 (#172) | AdjNet -6.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.394 (#173) | AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 76.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.656 (#139) | AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 65.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.614 (#300) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.630 (#284) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1132 (#125) | RD 102 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Marist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | SUNY Geneseo | W | 83 - 68 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Hartford | W | 89 - 74 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | SUNY New Paltz | W | 77 - 56 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Mt. St. Mary (NY) | W | 105 - 58 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Williams | L | 69 - 79 |
| 2025-12-05 | vs | Ithaca | W | 88 - 85 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Hobart | W | 85 - 74 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Claremont-M-S | L | 61 - 73 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Chapman | L | 69 - 70 |
| 2026-01-09 | vs | Clarkson | W | 56 - 54 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | St. Lawrence | W | 70 - 44 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | RIT | W | 73 - 64 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Union (NY) | W | 76 - 74 |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | Skidmore | W | 67 - 46 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Rensselaer | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Bard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | St. Lawrence | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Clarkson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | Skidmore | W | 82 - 75 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | Bard | W | 81 - 70 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Rensselaer | L | 58 - 61 |
| 2026-02-13 | vs | Union (NY) | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | RIT | W | 67 - 61 |
| 2026-02-20 | @ | Hobart | L | 68 - 70 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Ithaca | L | 73 - 76 |
| 2026-02-24 | vs | Skidmore | W | 67 - 64 |
| 2026-02-27 | @ | Union (NY) | W | 72 - 67 |
| 2026-03-01 | @ | Rensselaer | W | 57 - 53 |
| 2026-03-06 | @ | Hood | L | 71 - 84 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Fitzgerald | - | 28 | 33.4 | 17.1 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 13.8 | 11.1 | - | - | - | - | 38.6 | 38.5 | 89.1 | - | 55.0 | 49.2 |
| Parker Neuenhaus | - | 29 | 26.8 | 14.0 | 6.1 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 12.4 | 8.8 | - | - | - | - | 49.6 | 33.3 | 64.4 | - | 52.9 | 51.4 |
| Avery Lee | - | 11 | 18.8 | 11.9 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 9.2 | 7.3 | - | - | - | - | 45.5 | 43.6 | 84.6 | - | 58.3 | 54.0 |
| Nathan Denham | - | 27 | 23.1 | 9.2 | 7.0 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 7.5 | 11.1 | - | - | - | - | 53.0 | 17.4 | 60.8 | - | 55.5 | 54.0 |
| Sebastian Medina | - | 28 | 25.7 | 5.5 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6.5 | 6.3 | - | - | - | - | 30.8 | 22.2 | 65.0 | - | 38.6 | 35.2 |
| Sacha Greenberg | - | 27 | 13.0 | 5.5 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 4.9 | 4.7 | - | - | - | - | 42.4 | 28.9 | 73.7 | - | 52.7 | 50.8 |
| Kreekor Karageuzian | - | 28 | 27.7 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 4.8 | 7.4 | - | - | - | - | 36.6 | 22.2 | 73.8 | - | 43.6 | 38.1 |
| Kas Mirza | - | 19 | 8.1 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 2.6 | - | - | - | - | 43.1 | 46.3 | 68.0 | - | 60.5 | 57.7 |
| Will Gregory | - | 28 | 10.3 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | 38.4 | 31.9 | 62.5 | - | 50.7 | 50.0 |
| Eric Zhang | - | 29 | 9.1 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | 37.7 | 27.3 | 47.1 | - | 42.6 | 41.6 |
| Gyasi Zinn | - | 28 | 17.6 | 2.5 | 4.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 6.5 | - | - | - | - | 46.3 | 0.0 | 36.0 | - | 45.5 | 46.3 |
| Kale Elmhorst | - | 13 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 30.0 | 35.7 | 50.0 | - | 43.1 | 42.5 |
| Noah Mann | - | 12 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 71.7 | 62.5 |
| Jack Moineau | - | 12 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 14.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 25.4 | 14.3 |
| JP Miranda | - | 7 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Preston Neuenhaus | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG