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Vanguard Lions

Season: 2024 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Also known as: Vanguard Lions
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 898 (#902) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 931 (#848) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 997 (#283) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -5.2 (#646) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -25.0 (#572) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 67.7 More → 0.440 (#452) AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 67.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.180 (#543) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.231 (#532) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 953 (#256) RD 350 | GP 1

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-12-05 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors L 69 - 120

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
P. Wynne P. Wynne - 1 34.0 17.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 25.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.56 0 0
C. Gorman C. Gorman - 1 32.0 15.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 20.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.62 0 0
T. Kelly T. Kelly G 1 27.0 9.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 14.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.45 0 0
S. Hann S. Hann - 1 19.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 9.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.21 0 0
J. Diandy J. Diandy - 1 21.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG