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Vanderbilt Commodores

Also known as: Vanderbilt Commodores
Program History

2017 Team Stats (8 games)

60.5
PPG
75.6
Opp
-15.1
Margin
35.5%
FG%
29.1%
3P%
74.1%
FT%
38.8
RPG
11.3
APG
19.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.2
Adj PPG
65.0
Adj Opp PPG
#98
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1118 (#117) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1084 (#127) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +87 elo More โ†’ 959 (#224) HCA +87 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +8.2 (#95) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +6.8 (#101) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.401 (#213) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.9 More โ†’ 0.816 (#88) AdjNet +12.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.3 More โ†’ 0.823 (#88) AdjNet +13.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 65.0 More โ†’ 0.658 (#98) AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 65.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 66.8 More โ†’ 0.517 (#154) AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 66.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.644 (#114) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.616 (#123) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 156 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1053 (#140) RD 156 | GP 30

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 86 - 54
2016-11-13 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 61 - 94
2016-11-16 vs Drexel Dragons W 73 - 63
2016-11-20 vs Duke Blue Devils W 77 - 73
2016-11-22 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 75 - 59
2016-11-27 @ UT Martin Skyhawks W 79 - 77
2016-12-02 @ Air Force Falcons W 75 - 49
2016-12-03 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 73 - 63
2016-12-05 vs Tulane Green Wave W 74 - 63
2016-12-08 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 80 - 72
2016-12-18 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 89 - 57
2016-12-21 vs Louisville Cardinals L 66 - 78
2016-12-28 @ Memphis Tigers L 59 - 75
2017-01-02 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 72 - 77
2017-01-05 vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers L 57 - 70
2017-01-08 @ Georgia Lady Bulldogs L 68 - 70
2017-01-12 vs Auburn Tigers L 59 - 64
2017-01-15 vs Missouri Tigers L 68 - 74
2017-01-19 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 56 - 59
2017-01-22 @ Tennessee Lady Volunteers L 63 - 91
2017-01-26 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 87 - 80
2017-01-29 vs Florida Gators L 73 - 93
2017-02-05 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 63 - 71
2017-02-09 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 41 - 86
2017-02-13 vs LSU Tigers W 70 - 68
2017-02-16 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 51 - 82
2017-02-19 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 85 - 67
2017-02-23 vs Arkansas Razorbacks W 66 - 64
2017-02-26 @ LSU Tigers L 58 - 64
2017-03-01 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 57 - 77

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
R. Bell R. Bell G 8 19.1 11.2 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.8 2.1 10.0 3.2 - - - - 41.2 31.8 85.0 - 50.7 45.6
K. Overbeck K. Overbeck F 8 27.5 9.5 7.4 0.1 0.8 0.4 2.0 7.8 8.4 - - - - 46.8 0 64.3 - 51.1 46.8
E. Whalen E. Whalen G 8 19.2 7.5 2.6 1.5 0.5 0.5 2.6 7.1 2.9 - - - - 36.8 28.6 83.3 - 48.2 43.9
M. Webb M. Webb F 8 26.0 6.6 8.2 0.8 0.2 0.2 1.6 5.1 9.4 - - - - 46.3 0 78.9 - 53.7 46.3
C. Reed C. Reed G 8 20.5 6.5 1.8 0.2 0.9 0.1 1.8 5.6 2.1 - - - - 33.3 36.8 93.8 - 50.0 41.1
L. Carter L. Carter G 8 15.4 5.4 2.6 1.1 0.2 0.1 1.6 7.6 0.2 - - - - 18.0 12.5 64.5 - 28.8 18.9
M. Spears M. Spears G 6 25.8 5.0 2.7 2.3 0.2 0.0 1.3 2.8 6.0 - - - - 47.1 36.4 71.4 - 64.8 58.8
C. Walker C. Walker G 6 20.2 5.0 1.8 2.0 0.8 0.0 0.8 4.7 4.2 - - - - 35.7 26.3 83.3 - 49.0 44.6
R. Dahlman R. Dahlman G 6 12.2 2.8 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 2.7 1.8 - - - - 25.0 36.4 83.3 - 45.6 37.5
K. Clemons-Green K. Clemons-Green G 8 21.0 2.8 3.0 2.4 0.6 0.0 3.0 4.9 0.9 - - - - 20.5 15.4 100.0 - 27.0 23.1
M. Dancy M. Dancy G 1 9.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
M. Seawright M. Seawright G 6 8.7 1.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.2 0.8 - - - - 28.6 33.3 40.0 - 39.5 35.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG