Vanderbilt Commodores
2015 Team Stats (10 games)
58.8
PPG
70.0
Opp
-11.2
Margin
44.5%
FG%
31.6%
3P%
69.3%
FT%
30.5
RPG
12.1
APG
20.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.3
Adj PPG
57.2
Adj Opp PPG
#78
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2014-2015
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1130 (#106) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1126 (#88) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 964 (#226) | HCA +86 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +9.3 (#75) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +6.2 (#101) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.344 (#231) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.849 (#74) | AdjNet +15.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.858 (#73) | AdjNet +15.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.676 (#78) | AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 57.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.513 (#156) | AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 61.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.663 (#96) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.632 (#106) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1074 (#118) | RD 158 | GP 30 |
2015 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-11-14 | vs | Belmont Bruins | W | 65 - 58 |
| 2014-11-17 | vs | Green Bay Phoenix | W | 68 - 64 |
| 2014-11-20 | @ | Wisconsin Badgers | W | 67 - 58 |
| 2014-11-24 | vs | Saint Louis Billikens | W | 75 - 57 |
| 2014-11-28 | vs | Minnesota Golden Gophers | W | 71 - 54 |
| 2014-11-29 | vs | UConn Huskies | L | 52 - 91 |
| 2014-11-30 | @ | Arizona State Sun Devils | L | 67 - 72 |
| 2014-12-03 | vs | Mississippi Valley State Devilettes | W | 63 - 37 |
| 2014-12-14 | @ | Elon Phoenix | W | 66 - 50 |
| 2014-12-18 | @ | Marquette Golden Eagles | L | 67 - 80 |
| 2014-12-21 | vs | Dayton Flyers | L | 67 - 71 |
| 2014-12-29 | vs | James Madison Dukes | W | 66 - 62 |
| 2015-01-02 | @ | Texas A&M Aggies | L | 61 - 75 |
| 2015-01-05 | vs | Tennessee Lady Volunteers | L | 49 - 57 |
| 2015-01-08 | @ | LSU Tigers | L | 44 - 64 |
| 2015-01-11 | vs | Mississippi State Bulldogs | W | 78 - 62 |
| 2015-01-15 | vs | Alabama Huntsville Chargers | W | 74 - 51 |
| 2015-01-18 | @ | Georgia Lady Bulldogs | L | 53 - 64 |
| 2015-01-22 | vs | Arkansas Razorbacks | W | 55 - 53 |
| 2015-01-25 | @ | Alabama Crimson Tide | W | 55 - 52 |
| 2015-01-29 | @ | Mississippi State Bulldogs | L | 44 - 69 |
| 2015-02-01 | vs | Florida Gators | L | 58 - 67 |
| 2015-02-05 | vs | Ole Miss Rebels | W | 58 - 54 |
| 2015-02-08 | vs | Kentucky Wildcats | L | 68 - 82 |
| 2015-02-15 | @ | South Carolina Gamecocks | L | 59 - 89 |
| 2015-02-19 | @ | Florida Gators | W | 76 - 75 |
| 2015-02-22 | vs | Missouri Tigers | L | 51 - 54 |
| 2015-02-26 | vs | Auburn Tigers | L | 58 - 70 |
| 2015-03-01 | @ | Tennessee Lady Volunteers | L | 49 - 79 |
| 2015-03-04 | vs | Alabama Crimson Tide | W | 66 - 56 |
| 2015-03-05 | @ | Kentucky Wildcats | L | 61 - 67 |
2015 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
R. Dahlman
|
G | 10 | 29.8 | 12.1 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 3.6 | 8.8 | 6.4 | -27 | 25 | -1.1 | -1.5 | 44.3 | 39.5 | 76.5 | 1.17 | 58.8 | 54.0 |
K. Caron-Goudreau
|
F | 2 | 23.0 | 10.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.5 | 6.0 | - | - | - | - | 35.3 | 44.4 | 62.5 | 1.31 | 51.2 | 47.1 |
M. Webb
|
F | 10 | 20.1 | 8.9 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 5.5 | 6.6 | 1 | 22 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 58.2 | 0 | 64.1 | 2.73 | 61.7 | 58.2 |
P. Kea
|
G | 10 | 24.7 | 8.8 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 8.7 | 3.7 | 33 | 25 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 43.7 | 25.0 | 73.3 | 3.94 | 47.0 | 44.3 |
C. Reed
|
G | 2 | 18.0 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 7.0 | 2.5 | -18 | 11 | -1.6 | -3.9 | 35.7 | 25.0 | 60.0 | -1.5 | 46.3 | 42.9 |
H. Bowe
|
F | 10 | 21.3 | 6.9 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 5.7 | 4.6 | -96 | 18 | -5.3 | -11.6 | 54.4 | 0.0 | 77.8 | -3.02 | 56.6 | 54.4 |
M. Batey
|
G | 10 | 25.0 | 6.1 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 24 | 25 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 63.6 | 3.85 | 47.0 | 45.0 |
R. Bell
|
G | 9 | 19.6 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.0 | 2.3 | -1 | 24 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 26.7 | 22.6 | 89.5 | 0.77 | 45.0 | 34.4 |
J. Jenkins
|
G | 10 | 28.6 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 2.9 | -65 | 25 | -2.6 | -4.9 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.91 | 45.7 | 44.4 |
A. Caron-Goudreau
|
F | 10 | 15.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 22 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 31.6 | 0 | 42.9 | 1.5 | 34.0 | 31.6 |
R. Long
|
F | 7 | 8.6 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 2.9 | -1 | 15 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 57.1 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.09 | 63.5 | 57.1 |
K. Gaffney
|
F | 6 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | -15 | 19 | -0.8 | -2.1 | 40.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.77 | 42.5 | 40.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG