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Vanderbilt Commodores

Also known as: Vanderbilt Commodores
Program History

2015 Team Stats (10 games)

58.8
PPG
70.0
Opp
-11.2
Margin
44.5%
FG%
31.6%
3P%
69.3%
FT%
30.5
RPG
12.1
APG
20.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.3
Adj PPG
57.2
Adj Opp PPG
#78
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1130 (#106) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1126 (#88) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +86 elo More โ†’ 964 (#226) HCA +86 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +9.3 (#75) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +6.2 (#101) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.344 (#231) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.0 More โ†’ 0.849 (#74) AdjNet +15.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +15.6 More โ†’ 0.858 (#73) AdjNet +15.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 57.2 More โ†’ 0.676 (#78) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 57.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 61.4 More โ†’ 0.513 (#156) AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 61.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.663 (#96) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.632 (#106) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 158 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1074 (#118) RD 158 | GP 30

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 vs Belmont Bruins W 65 - 58
2014-11-17 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 68 - 64
2014-11-20 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 67 - 58
2014-11-24 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 75 - 57
2014-11-28 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 71 - 54
2014-11-29 vs UConn Huskies L 52 - 91
2014-11-30 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 67 - 72
2014-12-03 vs Mississippi Valley State Devilettes W 63 - 37
2014-12-14 @ Elon Phoenix W 66 - 50
2014-12-18 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 67 - 80
2014-12-21 vs Dayton Flyers L 67 - 71
2014-12-29 vs James Madison Dukes W 66 - 62
2015-01-02 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 61 - 75
2015-01-05 vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers L 49 - 57
2015-01-08 @ LSU Tigers L 44 - 64
2015-01-11 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 78 - 62
2015-01-15 vs Alabama Huntsville Chargers W 74 - 51
2015-01-18 @ Georgia Lady Bulldogs L 53 - 64
2015-01-22 vs Arkansas Razorbacks W 55 - 53
2015-01-25 @ Alabama Crimson Tide W 55 - 52
2015-01-29 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 44 - 69
2015-02-01 vs Florida Gators L 58 - 67
2015-02-05 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 58 - 54
2015-02-08 vs Kentucky Wildcats L 68 - 82
2015-02-15 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 59 - 89
2015-02-19 @ Florida Gators W 76 - 75
2015-02-22 vs Missouri Tigers L 51 - 54
2015-02-26 vs Auburn Tigers L 58 - 70
2015-03-01 @ Tennessee Lady Volunteers L 49 - 79
2015-03-04 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 66 - 56
2015-03-05 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 61 - 67

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
R. Dahlman R. Dahlman G 10 29.8 12.1 3.6 1.6 1.4 0.1 3.6 8.8 6.4 -27 25 -1.1 -1.5 44.3 39.5 76.5 1.17 58.8 54.0
K. Caron-Goudreau K. Caron-Goudreau F 2 23.0 10.5 2.5 1.5 0.0 1.0 1.0 8.5 6.0 - - - - 35.3 44.4 62.5 1.31 51.2 47.1
M. Webb M. Webb F 10 20.1 8.9 4.1 0.8 0.5 0.4 2.6 5.5 6.6 1 22 0.0 0.1 58.2 0 64.1 2.73 61.7 58.2
P. Kea P. Kea G 10 24.7 8.8 2.4 2.5 1.2 0.5 3.0 8.7 3.7 33 25 1.3 2.5 43.7 25.0 73.3 3.94 47.0 44.3
C. Reed C. Reed G 2 18.0 7.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 7.0 2.5 -18 11 -1.6 -3.9 35.7 25.0 60.0 -1.5 46.3 42.9
H. Bowe H. Bowe F 10 21.3 6.9 3.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 1.6 5.7 4.6 -96 18 -5.3 -11.6 54.4 0.0 77.8 -3.02 56.6 54.4
M. Batey M. Batey G 10 25.0 6.1 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.2 1.3 6.0 6.0 24 25 1.0 1.4 45.0 0.0 63.6 3.85 47.0 45.0
R. Bell R. Bell G 9 19.6 5.3 2.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.1 5.0 2.3 -1 24 0.0 -0.1 26.7 22.6 89.5 0.77 45.0 34.4
J. Jenkins J. Jenkins G 10 28.6 4.6 2.9 2.4 1.0 0.3 3.8 4.5 2.9 -65 25 -2.6 -4.9 44.4 0.0 50.0 -0.91 45.7 44.4
A. Caron-Goudreau A. Caron-Goudreau F 10 15.2 1.5 1.8 0.7 0.4 0.7 1.8 1.9 1.4 4 22 0.2 0.4 31.6 0 42.9 1.5 34.0 31.6
R. Long R. Long F 7 8.6 1.4 1.9 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 1.0 2.9 -1 15 -0.1 -0.4 57.1 0 100.0 -0.09 63.5 57.1
K. Gaffney K. Gaffney F 6 5.8 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.8 -15 19 -0.8 -2.1 40.0 0 50.0 -1.77 42.5 40.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG