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Vanderbilt Commodores

Also known as: Vanderbilt Commodores
Program History

2013 Team Stats (11 games)

58.5
PPG
64.3
Opp
-5.8
Margin
39.4%
FG%
30.9%
3P%
70.8%
FT%
31.5
RPG
13.6
APG
17.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.3
Adj PPG
49.2
Adj Opp PPG
#25
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1386 (#24) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1282 (#29) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +72 elo More โ†’ 1094 (#59) HCA +72 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +19.4 (#24) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +19.5 (#21) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.822 (#49) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +31.0 More โ†’ 0.973 (#24) AdjNet +31.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +31.6 More โ†’ 0.975 (#25) AdjNet +31.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 49.2 More โ†’ 0.839 (#25) AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 49.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 51.0 More โ†’ 0.744 (#31) AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 51.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.882 (#24) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.869 (#24) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 115 | GP 31 More โ†’ 1262 (#31) RD 115 | GP 31

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-10 vs McNeese Cowgirls W 82 - 71
2012-11-12 @ Lipscomb Bisons W 62 - 45
2012-11-15 vs UAB Blazers W 69 - 54
2012-11-18 @ Dayton Flyers L 66 - 71
2012-11-28 vs Austin Peay Governors W 67 - 36
2012-12-01 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 77 - 50
2012-12-04 @ Western Kentucky Lady Toppers W 77 - 67
2012-12-06 vs Hartford Hawks W 67 - 45
2012-12-16 @ Oklahoma Sooners W 76 - 63
2012-12-22 vs Charleston Cougars W 69 - 44
2012-12-29 @ USC Trojans W 74 - 56
2013-01-03 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 92 - 41
2013-01-06 @ Ole Miss Rebels W 76 - 57
2013-01-10 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 48 - 64
2013-01-13 vs Arkansas Razorbacks W 78 - 58
2013-01-20 @ LSU Tigers L 51 - 54
2013-01-24 vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers L 75 - 83
2013-01-27 @ Alabama Crimson Tide W 67 - 58
2013-01-31 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 52 - 60
2013-02-03 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 79 - 53
2013-02-10 vs Kentucky Wildcats L 53 - 75
2013-02-14 vs Missouri Tigers W 62 - 46
2013-02-17 @ Tennessee Lady Volunteers L 64 - 83
2013-02-21 @ Florida Gators W 68 - 57
2013-02-24 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 61 - 51
2013-02-28 vs Auburn Tigers W 59 - 44
2013-03-03 @ Georgia Lady Bulldogs L 50 - 55
2013-03-07 vs Missouri Tigers W 53 - 40
2013-03-08 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 65 - 76
2013-03-23 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 60 - 54
2013-03-25 @ UConn Huskies L 44 - 77

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Clarke T. Clarke NA 11 0.0 16.1 7.5 1.1 0.6 0.8 3.1 13.5 9.5 192 29 6.6 10.9 47.0 0 66.1 5.56 51.0 47.0
C. Foggie C. Foggie G 8 0.0 12.4 3.2 1.9 1.1 0.0 1.9 12.5 4.2 105 23 4.6 6.5 36.0 25.5 75.0 0.12 45.5 42.0
C. Brown C. Brown C 11 0.0 11.3 3.6 4.7 0.4 0.0 3.8 11.5 4.7 154 29 5.3 6.4 34.9 40.0 90.0 0.68 46.0 42.1
K. Schrann K. Schrann G 4 0.0 7.2 2.5 1.8 1.0 0.0 0.8 4.5 7.2 136 19 7.2 13.1 55.6 60.0 85.7 1.99 68.8 63.9
H. Bowe H. Bowe F 5 0.0 6.4 3.4 2.6 1.2 0.2 1.0 7.2 5.6 10 29 0.3 0.8 44.4 0 0 -1.41 44.4 44.4
E. Brown E. Brown NA 11 0.0 5.4 4.7 1.6 1.3 0.5 2.2 5.8 5.5 173 29 6.0 9.5 28.1 26.1 65.4 4.91 39.1 32.8
M. Batey M. Batey G 2 0.0 2.0 3.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 2.0 2.5 3.5 80 26 3.1 8.5 40.0 0 0 3.62 40.0 40.0
G. Smith G. Smith NA 3 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.0 0.0 62 26 2.4 10.6 33.3 0.0 0 0.7 33.3 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG