Valparaiso
2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)
81.5
PPG
69.0
Opp
+12.5
Margin
47.1%
FG%
25.6%
3P%
64.4%
FT%
37.5
RPG
11.5
APG
9.0
TO
72.0
Est. poss./game
74.9
Adj PPG
68.1
Adj Opp PPG
#81
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1135 (#90) | Preseason prior 1101 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1040, returning +94, transfers -62, freshmen +30 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1094 (#90) | HCA +224 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1060 (#84) | HCA +223 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.0 (#80) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.8 (#80) | HCA +1.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.726 (#100) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.647 (#97) | AdjNet +9.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.649 (#97) | AdjNet +9.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.635 (#81) | AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 68.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.614 (#75) | AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 68.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.666 (#87) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.662 (#87) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1110 (#91) | RD 197 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.619 (#107) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Western Illinois Leathernecks | W | 80 - 58 |
| 2026-11-06 | @ | Purdue Boilermakers | W | 83 - 80 |
| 2026-11-11 | @ | South Dakota State Jackrabbits | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-16 | vs | Calumet St. Joseph Crimson Wave | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rakim Chaney
|
G | 2 | 32.5 | 22.5 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 14.5 | 18.5 | 19 | 2 | 9.5 | 11.8 | 58.6 | 41.7 | 60.0 | 0.39 | 67.4 | 67.2 |
Jt Pettigrew
|
F | 2 | 27.5 | 14.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 12 | 2 | 6.0 | 8.7 | 47.6 | 25.0 | 61.5 | 0.18 | 54.3 | 50.0 |
Justus Mcnair
|
G | 2 | 31.5 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 14 | 2 | 7.0 | 9.1 | 46.7 | 16.7 | 55.6 | -0.47 | 52.7 | 50.0 |
Carter Hopoi
|
F | 2 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 10.5 | 34 | 2 | 17.0 | 26.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.08 | 48.7 | 50.0 |
Kobe Walker
|
C | 1 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 82.0 | 75.0 |
Rajan Roberts
|
G | 2 | 17.0 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 63.6 | - | 47.0 | 33.3 |
Bruno Alocen
|
G | 2 | 25.5 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 13 | 2 | 6.5 | 10.0 | 33.3 | 28.6 | 66.7 | -0.28 | 48.4 | 44.4 |
Terron Garrett
|
G | 2 | 18.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 30.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 46.0 | 40.0 |
Sader Servilus
|
G | 2 | 24.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 8 | 2 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.09 | 93.1 | 100.0 |
Kai Yu
|
C | 2 | 13.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 21.8 | 16.7 |
Hudson Scroggins
|
F | 2 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 113.6 | 0 |
Nick Lombardi
|
G | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | 1 | -1.0 | -42.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.59 | 0 | 0 |
Camden Webster
|
G | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | 1 | -1.0 | -42.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.59 | 0 | 0 |
Justin Curry II
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Dylan Moles
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
George Richardson
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Valparaiso players in EuroLeague 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Valparaiso game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Peters | 2013-17 | EuroLeague | Armani Olimpia Milan | 9 | 22.3 | 9.0 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 11-05 5 pts, 2 reb, 1 ast | 5 GP, 7.0 PPG, 3.6 RPG, 0.8 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | Alec Peters | EuroLeague | Armani Olimpia Milan | vs Valencia Basket | 18 | 5 | 2 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-30 | Alec Peters | EuroLeague | Armani Olimpia Milan | @ Olympiacos Piraeus | 17 | 4 | 3 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-10-22 | Alec Peters | EuroLeague | Armani Olimpia Milan | vs FC Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 2 | 1 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
121 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Rakim ChaneyJt PettigrewCarter HopoiJustus McnairBruno AlocenTerron GarrettRajan Roberts
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 19-28 | 67.9 | 38 | Carter Hopoi 26% (10 pts) | Jt Pettigrew 26% (10 pts) | Jt Pettigrew 22% (2 misses) | Justus Mcnair 22% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 17-31 | 54.8 | 34 | Rakim Chaney 35% (12 pts) | Carter Hopoi 18% (6 pts) | Carter Hopoi 29% (4 misses) | Jt Pettigrew 29% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-5 | 60.0 | 6 | Justus Mcnair 100% (6 pts) | - | Justus Mcnair 50% (1 misses) | Terron Garrett 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 3-6 | 50.0 | 6 | Rakim Chaney 100% (6 pts) | - | Jt Pettigrew 33% (1 misses) | Rakim Chaney 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 4-8 | 50.0 | 8 | Jt Pettigrew 50% (4 pts) | Justus Mcnair 25% (2 pts) | Rajan Roberts 50% (2 misses) | Jt Pettigrew 25% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 2-3 | 66.7 | 6 | Bruno Alocen 50% (3 pts) | Rakim Chaney 50% (3 pts) | Bruno Alocen 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Right corner 3 | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Bruno Alocen 50% (1 misses) | Terron Garrett 50% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 4-12 | 33.3 | 12 | Terron Garrett 50% (6 pts) | Bruno Alocen 25% (3 pts) | Bruno Alocen 25% (2 misses) | Jt Pettigrew 25% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 3-15 | 20.0 | 9 | Rakim Chaney 67% (6 pts) | Jt Pettigrew 33% (3 pts) | Carter Hopoi 25% (3 misses) | Kai Yu 25% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 2-11 | 18.2 | 6 | Justus Mcnair 50% (3 pts) | Rakim Chaney 50% (3 pts) | Justus Mcnair 33% (3 misses) | Rakim Chaney 33% (3 misses) |