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Valley Forge

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Valley Forge
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 827 (#589) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 757 (#616) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 852 (#721) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -25.6 (#498) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -26.7 (#735) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.221 (#652) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -32.5 More → 0.023 (#745) AdjNet -32.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -33.0 More → 0.021 (#745) AdjNet -33.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 87.5 More → 0.100 (#742) AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 87.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 82.1 More → 0.181 (#751) AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 82.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.117 (#733) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.121 (#738) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 23 More → 755 (#581) RD 100 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 @ Lehigh - Incomplete score
2025-11-08 @ Haverford - Incomplete score
2025-11-11 @ Medgar Evers - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 @ Patrick Henry - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Christendom - Incomplete score
2025-11-17 @ Washington Col. - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 vs Manor - Incomplete score
2025-11-20 vs Central Penn - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Gwynedd Mercy - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 @ Penn St.-Berks - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Notre Dame (MD) - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Keystone - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 @ Penn St.-Abington - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Penn St.-Scranton - Incomplete score
2026-01-13 vs Penn St. Brandywine - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Cairn - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 @ Penn St. Harrisburg - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Lancaster Bible - Incomplete score
2026-01-27 vs Rosemont - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 vs Penn St.-Lehigh Val. - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Gallaudet - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 @ Penn College - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs St. Mary's (MD) - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ronald Ayers - 1 26.4 24.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 16.0 207 11.5 69.3 50.0 25.0 91.7 -0.3 69.4 54.2
Jaylon Simpson - 1 26.4 24.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 16.0 201 8.7 66.7 50.0 25.0 91.7 -1.76 69.4 54.2
Alex Ortman - 1 33.0 20.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 17.0 -83 -6.4 -37.6 53.3 0 50.0 -1.97 54.0 53.3
JoJo Kelly - 1 45.0 20.0 12.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 17.0 18.0 -73 -4.1 -13.3 35.3 25.0 75.0 -0.85 48.7 41.2
Bobby Vander Woude - 1 36.0 20.0 8.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 14.0 15.0 - - - 28.6 28.6 83.3 -4.05 51.9 35.7
Tyler Meinel - 1 41.4 19.0 8.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 13.0 18.0 -82 -4.6 -16.3 61.5 0 50.0 -3.99 60.7 61.5
Tyler Fox - 1 41.8 18.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 19.0 0.0 - - - 36.8 30.8 0 -0.88 47.4 47.4
Michael Vander Woude - 1 40.0 18.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 13.0 - - - 50.0 37.5 83.3 -3.88 71.2 65.0
Justin Leddo - 1 15.0 17.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 10.0 -39 -2.3 -43.4 72.7 33.3 0 -1.72 77.3 77.3
Jon Nalty - 1 27.9 16.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 18.0 -60 -2.9 -14.8 44.4 40.0 100.0 -2.49 68.7 55.6
Brandon Moore - 1 32.6 15.0 5.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 15.0 -29 -1.8 -14.5 75.0 100.0 50.0 2.6 84.5 87.5
Isaiah Reece - 12 26.0 14.2 4.9 1.2 1.1 0.4 2.4 10.7 8.8 76 4.5 40.7 50.0 33.3 68.9 2.84 55.2 50.4
Wyatt Carlson - 1 21.0 13.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 8.0 14.0 -2 -0.2 -1.7 62.5 0.0 100.0 0.1 69.7 62.5
K'Mari Smith - 1 45.0 13.0 6.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 19.0 -53 -2.9 -9.2 50.0 0.0 50.0 3.06 53.5 50.0
Elija Eccleston - 1 24.0 13.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 10.0 -8 -0.5 -6.9 50.0 20.0 50.0 0.66 55.3 55.0
Ty Jones - 1 36.6 12.0 4.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 16.0 -105 -4.0 -103.3 66.7 50.0 100.0 -2.68 87.2 83.3
Chris Taylor - 1 35.1 12.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 5.0 -120 -7.5 -45.7 33.3 60.0 50.0 -1.64 46.6 45.8
Ty Woodland - 1 22.6 12.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 10.0 -144 -7.2 -39.0 71.4 100.0 50.0 -0.77 76.1 78.6
Nolan Waldon - 1 28.0 11.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 6.0 -83 -3.8 -28.2 27.3 0.0 55.6 2.06 36.8 27.3
Tyler Jackson - 1 25.5 10.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 7.0 -173 -5.2 -148.5 44.4 40.0 0.0 -7.04 53.0 55.6
Jory Valencia - 1 38.0 10.0 4.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 9.0 7.0 10.0 -71 -6.5 -26.8 42.9 25.0 50.0 -2.2 51.9 50.0
Joe Curran - 1 38.0 10.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 1.0 - - - 36.4 40.0 0.0 - 43.7 45.5
Denzel Pierre - 15 22.0 9.7 3.0 1.4 1.3 0.3 1.7 8.7 5.3 -19 -1.1 -9.8 35.9 35.1 86.2 -1.94 50.8 46.2
Zaki Gomez - 1 39.5 9.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 12.0 -1.0 -69 -4.1 -25.2 33.3 0.0 50.0 -0.68 34.9 33.3
William Lawder - 15 25.2 8.8 7.9 1.1 1.7 0.5 1.1 6.9 12.1 -3 -0.2 -1.2 52.4 0 39.3 1.43 50.8 52.4
Michael Broady - 12 18.1 8.7 1.8 0.8 1.0 0.1 1.3 7.9 3.1 -68 -5.2 -210.0 40.0 36.2 43.8 -3.98 51.0 51.1
Edmund Thomas - 1 40.0 8.0 14.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 14.0 -47 -1.7 -100.4 37.5 50.0 50.0 -4.0 45.0 43.8
Jae Harris - 1 18.8 8.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 2.0 -43 -5.4 -12.5 42.9 0 66.7 0.23 48.1 42.9
Ryan Lang - 1 27.6 8.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 6.0 -120 -6.0 -34.2 60.0 33.3 50.0 -0.99 68.0 70.0
Dominik McKenney-George - 11 22.8 7.9 1.6 2.6 1.2 0.1 2.3 8.0 3.2 -56 -4.0 -36.8 36.4 32.4 73.3 -0.89 46.0 43.2
Nabhi Abbushi Jr. - 1 36.0 7.0 10.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 6.0 -69 -23.0 -247.5 20.0 16.7 100.0 -5.12 32.2 25.0
Mike Gaines - 10 15.2 6.1 3.5 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.5 4.7 6.0 119 10.8 723.0 48.9 40.9 60.0 2.04 59.3 58.5
Max Portnoy - 1 28.9 6.0 7.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 6.0 -3 -0.1 -0.7 27.3 0 0 1.79 27.3 27.3
Jayson Fain - 1 4.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 26 2.6 266.7 66.7 100.0 0 1.04 100.0 100.0
Jordan Spencer - 1 27.0 6.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 7.0 127 7.1 48.0 66.7 0 100.0 4.43 77.3 66.7
Mike Byfield - 1 22.2 4.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 4.0 -82 -4.3 -19.6 33.3 0 0 -3.17 33.3 33.3
Tamir Powell - 1 26.8 4.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 3.0 -71 -4.4 -32.0 25.0 0.0 0 -0.67 25.0 25.0
Byron Gaskins - 1 11.9 4.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 3.0 9 0.4 4.5 33.3 0.0 0 -0.97 33.3 33.3
Antwone George - 1 16.0 4.0 7.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 13.0 11 0.6 5.5 33.3 0.0 0 2.31 33.3 33.3
Deven Dowdie - 15 16.4 3.9 2.7 2.4 0.8 0.1 1.5 3.8 4.5 15 0.8 9.6 35.1 33.3 71.4 -0.41 45.9 42.1
Christian Metivia - 15 19.0 3.9 2.7 1.3 1.4 0.0 1.2 3.4 4.8 - - - 37.3 15.4 61.3 - 45.6 39.2
Jason Brice - 15 7.4 3.3 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 2.9 1.5 -47 -2.8 -44.4 29.5 39.1 77.8 -4.04 47.2 39.8
Tyler Scarpulla - 1 18.1 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -1.0 -146 -8.6 -59.3 25.0 0 50.0 -4.55 30.7 25.0
Sean Murphy - 1 2.8 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 144 4.8 61.9 50.0 100.0 0 -1.04 75.0 75.0
Davis Bland - 1 18.2 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 -1.0 -43 -2.0 -15.0 16.7 16.7 0 -0.68 25.0 25.0
Corey Baldwin - 1 2.3 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 183 9.2 137.3 100.0 100.0 0 3.52 150.0 150.0
Donne Midamba - 1 2.3 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Chris Henderson - 1 16.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 6.0 104 5.8 39.6 25.0 0.0 100.0 4.51 33.8 25.0
David Reed IV - 1 13.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 -29 -1.6 -21.3 25.0 0 25.0 -2.13 26.0 25.0
Aiden Littleton - 12 7.8 2.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.9 3.0 0.2 -58 -5.8 -39.5 41.7 0.0 40.0 -3.14 41.9 41.7
Dallas Wilder - 1 9.1 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -69 -4.9 -47.8 50.0 0 0 -1.47 50.0 50.0
Caleb Alston-Nelson - 1 4.6 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Luke Ross - 1 26.0 2.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 -2.56 17.4 0.0
Ben Costello - 1 15.2 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -1.0 -101 -5.0 -43.8 25.0 0.0 0 -2.76 25.0 25.0
Chris Hill - 1 11.2 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 142 10.1 218.3 0.0 0 100.0 3.47 25.8 0.0
Jonathan Desir - 1 11.2 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 127 7.9 192.7 0.0 0 100.0 1.86 25.8 0.0
Liam Carey - 1 2.3 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -4 -0.5 -14.5 100.0 0 0 -2.84 100.0 100.0
Maurice Davis - 1 16.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 42 2.1 25.6 33.3 0 0 0.65 33.3 33.3
Camar Gregorio - 7 7.1 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.1 1.3 0.7 -9 -1.0 -74.7 44.4 0.0 40.0 -0.99 44.6 44.4
Jaden Cesar - 14 5.9 1.1 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.2 -47 -3.4 -87.9 42.9 25.0 50.0 -5.14 47.6 46.4
Ace Branham - 12 4.3 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 1.8 -0.9 -68 -6.2 -189.8 18.2 0.0 50.0 -6.39 19.7 18.2
Brandon Edwards - 5 4.7 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.0 -12 -1.7 -56.6 25.0 0.0 33.3 -2.3 30.1 25.0
Charlie Giordano - 8 3.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.6 -0.5 -24 -3.4 -144.0 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jaylyn Mason - 1 3.5 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 -24 -1.8 -58.2 0 0 0 0.01 0 0
Kyle Jones - 2 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18 1.4 25.9 0 0 0 0.1 0 0
Jacob Becker - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11 0.7 9.7 0 0 0 4.16 0 0
David Carr Jr. - 1 5.3 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 1.38 0.0 0.0
Andre Burrell Jr - 1 14.9 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Luke Cughan - 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 15 2.5 91.6 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG