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Valley City St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Valley City St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 955 (#399) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 931 (#387) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 985 (#475) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -10.5 (#517) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.033 (#584) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -16.0 More → 0.137 (#567) AdjNet -16.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.2 More → 0.141 (#563) AdjNet -15.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 70.3 More → 0.294 (#562) AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 70.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 65.7 More → 0.445 (#479) AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 65.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.370 (#475) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.389 (#460) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 910 (#361) RD 350 | GP 1

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-11 @ St. Cloud St. L 43 - 77
2023-12-05 @ Minot St. L 58 - 72
2023-12-18 @ Mary L 45 - 84
2023-12-19 @ Bemidji St. L 57 - 67

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Adriana Torres - 4 26.5 13.2 6.2 0.5 0.2 0.5 2.0 13.0 5.8 6 0.8 2.6 40.4 50.0 50.0 -0.02 48.5 48.1
Hailey Roberts - 4 21.8 6.2 3.0 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.8 7.5 0.8 - - - 23.3 27.3 100.0 - 37.3 28.3
Ellie Braaten - 4 20.0 6.2 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 4.2 4.5 - - - 41.2 33.3 88.9 - 59.6 50.0
Ashlyn Diemert - 4 17.2 6.0 1.2 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.2 6.0 0.8 - - - 37.5 33.3 100.0 - 48.2 45.8
Ellie Powell - 4 14.8 3.2 5.0 0.8 0.5 0.8 1.0 2.5 6.8 - - - 40.0 0 62.5 - 48.1 40.0
Elyse Hebrink - 4 17.2 3.2 3.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 2.2 2.8 4.2 - - - 36.4 100.0 100.0 - 50.9 40.9
Katie Johnson - 4 15.2 3.2 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.5 5.5 -0.5 20 4.0 18.1 18.2 26.7 50.0 0.24 28.4 27.3
Klaire Cotton - 4 4.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 1.0 - - - 62.5 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Olivia Backus - 4 7.5 2.2 0.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.2 3.2 -1.8 - - - 23.1 0.0 75.0 - 30.5 23.1
Mya Morris - 4 2.5 1.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.5 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Madison Spacher - 4 9.0 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.0 -1.0 - - - 12.5 33.3 0 - 18.8 18.8
JayCee Richter - 3 8.3 0.7 2.0 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 2.3 1.3 - - - 14.3 0.0 0.0 - 12.7 14.3
Madison Wilhelmi - 4 11.2 0.5 1.8 0.0 0.5 0.0 3.0 1.0 -1.2 - - - 0.0 0 100.0 - 20.5 0.0
Avery Kuklinski - 4 2.5 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Allie Negen - 4 3.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.8 -0.8 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 12.9 0.0
Delany Cotton - 4 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0
Rosie Anderson - 4 14.0 0.0 3.0 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.8 - - - 0.0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG