Va. Wesleyan
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1003 (#238) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1096 (#154) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1082 (#115) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.5 (#156) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +10.4 (#209) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.134 (#615) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.769 (#242) | NetEff +8.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.060 (#585) | AdjNet -23.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.056 (#581) | AdjNet -23.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.204 (#576) | AdjO 52.3 | AdjD 67.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.675 (#150) | AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 58.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.727 (#183) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.730 (#181) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1152 (#109) | RD 96 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Greensboro | W | 108 - 86 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Methodist | W | 52 - 44 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Marymount (VA) | W | 68 - 54 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Wash. & Lee | L | 57 - 80 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Regent | W | 69 - 31 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Shenandoah | L | 61 - 62 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Salisbury | L | 68 - 88 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Chris. Newport | L | 56 - 61 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Meredith | W | 72 - 54 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Hollins | L | 63 - 69 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Guilford | L | 56 - 59 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Roanoke | W | 74 - 50 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Randolph-Macon | W | 71 - 61 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Bridgewater (VA) | L | 37 - 58 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Averett | W | 70 - 62 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Wash. & Lee | L | 59 - 64 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Shenandoah | L | 60 - 67 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Randolph | W | 66 - 53 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brianna Long | - | 18 | 31.9 | 17.4 | 13.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 10.8 | 19.3 | 97 | 4.6 | 21.6 | 60.3 | 0.0 | 64.8 | 0.22 | 63.2 | 60.3 |
| Bre Robinson | - | 18 | 27.5 | 11.1 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 9.9 | 6.3 | 95 | 4.5 | 24.2 | 45.8 | 28.6 | 69.6 | 2.08 | 50.2 | 46.9 |
| Sydney Turner | - | 11 | 25.0 | 9.5 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 6.8 | 7.5 | -36 | -3.0 | -13.4 | 36.0 | 100.0 | 81.7 | 2.24 | 51.3 | 36.7 |
| Keira Bagwell | - | 18 | 29.0 | 9.1 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 9.7 | 2.0 | 73 | 3.6 | 17.4 | 33.9 | 34.2 | 79.2 | -0.35 | 44.2 | 41.4 |
| Maesyn Blayock | - | 6 | 34.5 | 8.3 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 10.3 | 4.8 | 40 | 5.7 | 41.5 | 27.4 | 18.2 | 87.5 | -0.22 | 36.2 | 29.0 |
| Jaiden Hunter | - | 18 | 27.1 | 7.7 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 7.1 | 6.5 | 36 | 1.7 | 8.5 | 43.0 | 0 | 64.4 | -0.71 | 47.0 | 43.0 |
| Maesyn Blaylock | - | 12 | 35.8 | 5.0 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 4.0 | 5.8 | 4.2 | 34 | 2.4 | 8.9 | 33.3 | 11.8 | 85.7 | -0.81 | 39.9 | 34.8 |
| Isabella Murphy | - | 18 | 7.7 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 | -7 | -0.4 | -7.9 | 48.5 | 51.7 | 0 | -2.83 | 71.2 | 71.2 |
| Mckenzie Wiggins | - | 9 | 6.7 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 5 | 0.5 | 75.5 | 36.8 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.57 | 47.4 | 36.8 |
| Mia Alexander | - | 15 | 15.1 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 0.4 | 4.1 | 28.3 | 0.0 | 58.8 | -0.35 | 33.7 | 28.3 |
| Kerah Paige | - | 8 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.5 | -0.4 | 12 | 1.7 | 34.3 | 41.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.58 | 42.7 | 45.8 |
| Lailana Harris | - | 16 | 5.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.9 | -0.2 | 5 | 0.3 | 6.3 | 16.7 | 15.4 | 100.0 | -1.23 | 22.7 | 20.0 |
| Meadow Dyke | - | 9 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | -0.4 | -2 | -0.2 | -53.9 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.01 | 21.8 | 16.7 |
| Olivia Hedrick | - | 12 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 7 | 0.6 | 61.1 | 22.2 | 0 | 0 | -0.67 | 22.2 | 22.2 |
| Jasmyn Dudley | - | 4 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -2 | -0.5 | -480.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG