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Virginia-Lynchburg Dragons

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2015 2013
Also known as: VU of Lynchburg Dragons
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 630 (#1111) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 555 (#1117) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 993 (#367) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -39.2 (#1103) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -39.6 (#588) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 69.6 More → 0.324 (#570) AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 69.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.056 (#587) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.082 (#588) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 2 More → 841 (#512) RD 350 | GP 2

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-12-03 @ VMI Keydets L 61 - 102
2013-01-08 @ North Carolina Central Eagles L 28 - 97

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Zimin D. Zimin - 2 26.5 7.5 3.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 2.5 0.0 11.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.45 0 0
L. McPhaul L. McPhaul - 2 33.0 5.5 3.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 4.5 0.0 6.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.49 0 0
D. Gravely D. Gravely - 2 32.0 4.0 7.5 1.0 1.5 0.5 4.0 0.0 10.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.86 0 0
J. Zornjan J. Zornjan - 2 15.5 3.0 3.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 6.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
L. Janenas L. Janenas G 1 19.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.73 0 0
D. McKoy D. McKoy G 1 13.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG