VTSU-Johnson
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 897 (#409) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 757 (#554) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 820 (#670) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -40.4 (#412) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -44.8 (#708) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.004 (#725) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.024 (#541) | NetEff -24.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.000 (#746) | AdjNet -74.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.000 (#747) | AdjNet -76.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.016 (#745) | AdjO 38.4 | AdjD 83.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.056 (#717) | AdjO 44.0 | AdjD 75.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.024 (#708) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.027 (#709) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 750 (#506) | RD 108 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Plymouth St. | L | 52 - 73 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Lesley | W | 69 - 49 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Colby-Sawyer | L | 48 - 74 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Norwich | L | 56 - 71 |
| 2025-11-23 | vs | UMass Boston | L | 49 - 73 |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Thomas (ME) | L | 47 - 60 |
| 2025-12-09 | @ | MCLA | W | 44 - 39 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | VTSU Lyndon | L | 66 - 76 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ | Saint Michael's | L | 40 - 101 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Husson | L | 65 - 87 |
| 2026-01-11 | vs | Me.-Presque Isle | W | 70 - 66 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | VTSU Lyndon | L | 50 - 72 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Thomas (ME) | L | 34 - 75 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | SUNY Cobleskill | L | 37 - 67 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | SUNY Delhi | W | 71 - 60 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Me.-Farmington | L | 37 - 76 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Maine Maritime | L | 30 - 83 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristie Zator | - | 17 | 37.9 | 16.4 | 8.6 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 3.2 | 13.5 | 11.4 | -97 | -5.4 | -42.4 | 40.6 | 31.1 | 77.1 | -1.03 | 53.5 | 48.9 |
| Jaylah Jones | - | 9 | 32.0 | 12.1 | 5.8 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 3.6 | 12.2 | 7.0 | -9 | -0.4 | -2.7 | 39.1 | 15.8 | 83.3 | 1.59 | 45.2 | 40.5 |
| Abbie Hernandez | - | 15 | 30.1 | 10.5 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 11.1 | 5.3 | -151 | -8.4 | -56.3 | 32.3 | 36.5 | 68.9 | -1.56 | 42.3 | 38.0 |
| Jacquelyn Oberg | - | 17 | 24.6 | 5.6 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 8.2 | 2.0 | -107 | -5.3 | -40.5 | 25.9 | 13.6 | 75.0 | -1.97 | 31.7 | 27.0 |
| Faith Meade | - | 17 | 19.8 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 6.7 | -0.2 | -47 | -2.4 | -20.6 | 30.7 | 26.1 | 47.1 | 0.5 | 37.0 | 36.0 |
| Kamryn Devero | - | 9 | 21.5 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 3.8 | 6.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 22.8 | 27.3 | 40.0 | - | 29.3 | 28.1 |
| Cris Sandlin | - | 13 | 21.7 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 0.7 | -158 | -9.9 | -53.7 | 27.1 | 18.2 | 50.0 | -4.76 | 30.4 | 28.8 |
| Emily Ward | - | 17 | 18.2 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 1.5 | -111 | -5.5 | -51.3 | 15.0 | 9.7 | 83.3 | 0.05 | 20.8 | 17.5 |
| Sierra Reed | - | 5 | 9.0 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 14.3 | 0 | 33.3 | -1.26 | 18.0 | 14.3 |
| Faith Benjamin | - | 16 | 14.7 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | -152 | -8.0 | -97.1 | 17.2 | 0.0 | 53.3 | -3.92 | 25.3 | 17.2 |
| Isabel Akisson | - | 14 | 11.4 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.4 | -79 | -4.6 | -50.7 | 38.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1.41 | 37.2 | 38.5 |
| Haley Root | - | 3 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Cris Sandin | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Isabel Atkisson | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kayli Stapelfeld | - | 2 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.65 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG