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VTSU-Johnson

Season: 2026
Also known as: VTSU-Johnson
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 980 (#320) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 951 (#350) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 948 (#560) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -48.0 (#690) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.000 (#745) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -77.9 More → 0.000 (#762) AdjNet -77.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -76.3 More → 0.000 (#760) AdjNet -76.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 45.4 | AdjD 98.7 More → 0.008 (#765) AdjO 45.4 | AdjD 98.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 52.0 | AdjD 70.4 More → 0.158 (#681) AdjO 52.0 | AdjD 70.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.050 (#683) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.069 (#680) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-14 @ Saint Michael's L 40 - 101

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaylah Jones - 1 38.8 16.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 12.0 9.0 68 3.1 19.9 41.7 0.0 75.0 2.94 51.5 41.7
Abbie Hernandez - 1 32.0 11.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 13.0 6.0 - - - 30.8 75.0 0 - 42.3 42.3
Kristie Zator - 1 34.1 7.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 0.0 - - - 27.3 12.5 0 - 31.8 31.8
Jacquelyn Oberg - 1 20.1 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 7.0 -4.0 - - - 28.6 0 0 - 28.6 28.6
Kamryn Devero - 1 20.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Faith Benjamin - 1 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Emily Ward - 1 10.4 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Faith Meade - 1 29.1 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 -5.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Isabel Akisson - 1 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG