VTSU Randolph
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1062 (#155) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 993 (#385) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 987 (#534) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -20.2 (#369) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -20.7 (#693) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.339 (#572) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.031 (#731) | AdjNet -29.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.030 (#730) | AdjNet -30.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.123 (#721) | AdjO 60.3 | AdjD 81.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.364 (#618) | AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 73.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.243 (#631) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.257 (#627) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 989 (#381) | RD 266 | GP 4 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | VTSU-Johnson | W | 108 - 101 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Keystone | W | 76 - 65 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | New England Col. | W | 67 - 65 |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Norwich | L | 49 - 63 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylon Calvin | - | 3 | 40.9 | 22.3 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 20.7 | 15.7 | - | - | - | 37.1 | 12.5 | 100.0 | - | 47.6 | 38.7 |
| Luke Montejo | - | 1 | 28.0 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 27 | 2.1 | 12.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 0.03 | 63.8 | 60.0 |
| Xzavier Ivey | - | 3 | 33.7 | 14.3 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 50.0 | 54.5 | - | 67.5 | 68.5 |
| Shandon Anderson | - | 3 | 31.1 | 10.3 | 5.3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 8.7 | 7.3 | 13 | 1.0 | 28.7 | 42.3 | 31.2 | 57.1 | 0.22 | 53.3 | 51.9 |
| Tommy Nguyen | - | 3 | 36.3 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 6.3 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 47.4 | 35.7 | 66.7 | - | 62.4 | 60.5 |
| Will Jenkins | - | 3 | 39.3 | 9.0 | 4.7 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 11.7 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 14.3 | 83.3 | - | 35.9 | 31.4 |
| Landon Mashburn | - | 2 | 11.1 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 68.9 | 70.0 |
| Michael Hills | - | 1 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 28 | 2.5 | 28.0 | 33.3 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -3.37 | 50.9 | 41.7 |
| Josh Robie | - | 1 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 38 | 2.9 | 15.0 | 22.2 | 22.2 | 100.0 | 1.07 | 37.1 | 33.3 |
| Mohamed Conde | - | 2 | 16.4 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 57.1 | - | 45.9 | 40.0 |
| Miguel Acevedo | - | 2 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 50.9 | 50.0 |
| Shawn O'Keefe | - | 1 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | -7 | -0.8 | -16.9 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.04 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Jaden Clark | - | 1 | 13.6 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -31 | -3.4 | -240.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.17 | 39.9 | 0.0 |
| Kenray Emadamerho | - | 1 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | -11 | -0.8 | -4.8 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.76 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Gil Gordon | - | 1 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 56.8 | 0 |
| Ryan Elliott | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26 | 2.6 | 149.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.54 | 0 | 0 |
| Luc Levesque | - | 1 | 11.3 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah Masha | - | 1 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG