🐻⬇️🏀

VTSU Lyndon

Also known as: VTSU Lyndon
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 840 (#583) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 791 (#599) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 836 (#733) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -30.3 (#414) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -28.7 (#752) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.094 (#742) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -38.2 More → 0.012 (#768) AdjNet -38.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -38.6 More → 0.011 (#769) AdjNet -38.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 99.2 More → 0.059 (#779) AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 99.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 96.5 More → 0.156 (#765) AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 96.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.085 (#758) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.093 (#759) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 23 More → 736 (#588) RD 99 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Keystone L 80 - 88
2025-11-09 @ VTSU-Johnson W 89 - 77
2025-11-15 @ SUNY Canton L 77 - 106
2025-11-19 @ Elms L 78 - 103
2025-11-22 @ New Haven L 51 - 122
2025-12-02 vs Lesley L 98 - 104
2025-12-05 @ SUNY Cobleskill W 100 - 91
2025-12-06 @ SUNY Delhi W 84 - 73
2025-12-09 @ VTSU-Johnson W 108 - 107
2025-12-19 @ Saint Vincent L 67 - 92
2025-12-21 @ Tufts L 51 - 117
2026-01-02 vs MCLA W 85 - 74
2026-01-05 @ Me.-Farmington L 83 - 94
2026-01-06 @ Maine Maritime L 79 - 86
2026-01-10 vs Me.-Presque Isle L 74 - 89
2026-01-11 vs Husson L 99 - 113
2026-01-17 vs VTSU-Johnson W 89 - 73
2026-01-24 @ Lesley L 104 - 109
2026-01-27 @ Thomas (ME) L 72 - 78
2026-01-30 vs SUNY Delhi L 90 - 97
2026-01-31 vs SUNY Cobleskill W 111 - 108
2026-02-06 vs Maine Maritime L 72 - 94
2026-02-07 vs Me.-Farmington L 84 - 116

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Wesley McIntyre - 17 32.8 27.2 5.4 2.7 2.1 0.2 3.8 19.0 14.8 -94 -4.9 -26.3 47.7 33.7 74.6 0.29 58.3 52.2
Marcus Schade - 1 33.1 27.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 18.0 20.0 -1 -0.1 -0.2 61.1 25.0 75.0 2.56 68.3 66.7
Zach McLaughlin - 1 34.0 24.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 21.0 7.0 123 8.2 43.1 33.3 0.0 83.3 3.05 45.7 33.3
MJ Ford - 1 22.8 20.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 10.0 -16 -1.3 -6.9 57.1 40.0 100.0 -1.32 67.2 64.3
Quanire Greene - 1 20.8 20.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 5.0 12.0 11.0 - - - 58.3 25.0 55.6 - 62.7 62.5
Gregory Gonyea Jr. - 15 28.7 19.1 3.4 2.7 1.7 0.1 3.5 13.5 10.1 -154 -8.1 -50.9 49.0 31.0 80.0 1.65 58.9 52.2
Akhe McMichael - 1 22.2 17.0 6.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 18.0 65 3.6 23.0 50.0 0.0 69.2 0.93 62.0 50.0
La'Anthony Fairley - 1 20.8 16.0 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 15.0 - - - 55.6 0 60.0 - 59.7 55.6
Charlie Houghton - 1 30.0 15.0 8.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 13.0 108 6.4 43.1 46.2 33.3 0 0.15 57.7 57.7
Jason Reynolds - 1 31.0 15.0 19.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 23.0 122 7.2 44.7 54.5 75.0 0 1.23 68.2 68.2
Drew Hamilton - 1 31.4 15.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 9.0 -6 -0.3 -1.2 41.7 22.2 75.0 -1.17 54.5 50.0
Doug McCalla - 1 22.3 15.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 12.0 9.0 71 5.9 28.2 58.3 0.0 100.0 0.59 60.3 58.3
Kory Donlin - 1 27.0 14.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 13.0 -1.0 89 6.8 83.4 38.5 0.0 100.0 0.57 47.4 38.5
Marquay Tanksley - 1 29.6 13.0 9.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 16.0 -11 -0.6 -2.5 44.4 25.0 80.0 -0.4 58.0 50.0
Vince Russman - 1 23.4 12.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 15.0 -4 -0.2 -2.5 80.0 0.0 80.0 -1.33 83.3 80.0
Gabe Michaud - 1 32.0 11.0 3.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 14.0 93 5.8 55.5 71.4 100.0 0 0.54 78.6 78.6
Conor Holland - 1 21.8 11.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 7.0 53 2.5 18.4 37.5 33.3 80.0 5.65 53.9 43.8
Cameron Rhode - 1 26.3 11.0 7.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 14.0 -47 -2.2 -17.6 44.4 0.0 75.0 -1.44 51.1 44.4
Matt Doyle - 19 27.2 10.8 8.6 0.5 0.7 0.6 1.1 7.9 12.3 -201 -9.1 -53.0 52.3 20.0 64.4 -0.32 56.2 52.6
Joelle Hodge - 1 16.5 10.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 6.0 -31 -2.1 -117.5 37.5 66.7 100.0 0.04 56.3 50.0
Brayden St. Pierre - 1 19.0 9.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 14.0 85 14.2 305.4 66.7 100.0 100.0 0.5 94.5 83.3
Aaron Pensel - 1 23.3 9.0 11.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 11.0 -21 -1.0 -4.9 14.3 0.0 87.5 1.11 42.8 14.3
Gabe Hagar - 1 32.0 8.0 7.0 5.0 5.0 0.0 5.0 14.0 6.0 -45 -2.5 -20.3 21.4 22.2 0 0.98 28.6 28.6
AJ Creech - 1 19.7 8.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 2.0 27 1.6 13.9 33.3 0.0 100.0 1.68 40.5 33.3
Dwaine Williams - 1 28.0 8.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 10.0 23 2.6 29.6 33.3 50.0 100.0 0.99 58.1 50.0
James Yamashita - 1 13.7 8.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 7.0 38 2.1 24.3 60.0 33.3 50.0 0.52 68.0 70.0
Max Kocha - 19 22.5 7.5 3.8 3.7 0.8 0.2 2.7 6.0 7.3 -81 -3.9 -31.0 43.0 34.1 76.9 -2.88 54.5 49.6
Noah Eckhart - 1 24.7 7.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 7.0 27 1.2 10.7 25.0 25.0 100.0 1.57 60.8 37.5
Bruce Wilder Jr. - 1 9.7 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 -30 -2.0 -20.6 33.3 0 66.7 -0.39 53.2 33.3
Xavier Rainwater - 18 13.5 5.1 2.3 1.6 0.7 0.4 1.1 3.8 5.1 -38 -1.9 -23.9 50.7 26.7 47.2 2.02 53.6 53.6
Tristan Robbins - 1 10.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 91 7.0 82.3 66.7 50.0 0 -0.34 83.3 83.3
Josiah Dancy - 1 15.5 5.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 6.0 54 2.6 28.4 50.0 0 37.5 -1.03 45.3 50.0
Tyson Enget - 1 33.3 5.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 11.0 60 3.3 21.4 50.0 50.0 0.0 2.31 43.4 62.5
Isaiah Allison - 2 19.8 5.0 4.5 2.5 2.0 0.0 1.0 3.5 9.5 6 6.0 12.1 57.1 66.7 0 -0.01 71.4 71.4
Christian Hathorn - 14 14.8 4.4 1.9 1.8 0.9 0.1 1.9 4.6 2.6 - - - 32.3 25.0 90.9 - 44.4 40.0
Yuki Ishibashi - 1 10.3 4.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 1.0 7 0.4 3.9 16.7 0.0 100.0 -0.38 29.1 16.7
Aleix Moreno - 1 9.6 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 5 0.3 7.4 50.0 0.0 0.0 -0.85 41.0 50.0
Zander Poissant - 1 10.9 4.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 -34 -1.6 -22.7 50.0 0 100.0 -1.84 69.4 50.0
Wade Hill - 1 16.6 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 -18 -1.4 -8.9 0.0 0.0 75.0 -1.12 26.0 0.0
Ty Bates - 18 10.9 2.9 2.5 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.6 2.4 3.8 -49 -2.5 -39.5 50.0 50.0 44.4 2.5 51.0 51.1
Jordan Thibodeaux - 15 7.4 2.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 2.4 0.1 -54 -3.4 -148.8 33.3 41.2 47.1 -1.0 44.8 43.1
Dylan Hosford - 5 10.8 2.6 3.6 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.4 3.4 4.6 -4 -0.8 -7.4 23.5 36.4 25.0 -1.71 34.6 35.3
Jacob McPhail - 9 3.4 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.8 1.9 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 41.2 42.9 25.0 0.29 56.0 58.8
Chad Martin - 15 19.9 2.0 4.1 1.9 1.2 0.1 1.7 1.5 6.1 -180 -9.5 -145.4 59.1 50.0 42.9 0.15 59.8 61.4
Ja'Lyn Griffin - 1 15.4 2.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Alex Leslie - 12 8.0 1.6 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.0 1.5 -4 -0.3 -16.2 58.3 0.0 45.5 -0.59 56.4 58.3
Jaiden Cole - 17 6.1 1.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.9 -1 -0.1 -1.6 52.4 0.0 27.3 0.03 48.4 52.4
Jack Giarrusso - 15 5.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.6 1.3 -0.1 -41 -2.6 -120.7 26.3 18.2 75.0 -1.24 36.1 31.6
Bryce Guitard - 1 7.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 41 6.8 44.6 0.0 0 50.0 -0.2 17.4 0.0
Andrew Joncas - 17 5.7 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.5 -73 -4.3 -85.0 21.1 22.2 100.0 -4.42 37.0 26.3
Brayden Pepin - 12 5.3 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 -41 -3.4 -134.6 37.5 16.7 50.0 -1.12 46.1 43.8
Aaric Luce - 6 3.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 -12 -1.7 -93.5 33.3 0.0 0 -0.23 33.3 33.3
Jorden Cole - 8 2.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 -13 -2.2 -68.9 33.3 0 0 -0.96 33.3 33.3
Tyler Dias - 7 2.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.3 -0.13 11.6 0.0
Lucas Ames - 7 2.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0
Braden Camire - 1 10.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 64 4.9 35.5 0.0 0.0 0 0.23 0.0 0.0
Stephan Direny - 1 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4 -0.3 -12.1 0 0 0 -0.78 0 0
Javier Osowski-Freire - 1 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -0.1 -6.2 0 0 0 0.08 0 0
Myreon Phillip - 1 1.4 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 19 2.7 186.1 0.0 0 0 -0.1 0.0 0.0
Blake Senal - 1 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -0.09 0 0
Rowan Morel - 1 3.6 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 4 0.3 3.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.3 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG