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VMI

Also known as: VMI
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2021 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1019 (#320) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1016 (#364) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1001 (#448) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +35.0 (#38) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.999 (#55) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +29.5 More → 0.968 (#117) AdjNet +29.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +29.4 More → 0.972 (#111) AdjNet +29.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 97.2 | AdjD 70.0 More → 0.923 (#59) AdjO 97.2 | AdjD 70.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 83.9 | AdjD 73.9 More → 0.714 (#92) AdjO 83.9 | AdjD 73.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.879 (#39) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.836 (#54) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1079 (#245) RD 350 | GP 1

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2020-12-08 vs Greensboro W 100 - 65

2021 Roster

No roster data available for this season.