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VMI

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: VMI Keydets, VMI
Program History
Coach: Duggar Baucom

2014 Team Stats (8 games)

79.6
PPG
81.2
Opp
-1.6
Margin
41.7%
FG%
32.4%
3P%
67.8%
FT%
41.0
RPG
11.4
APG
11.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
80.4
Adj PPG
83.9
Adj Opp PPG
#220
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1096 (#101) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1012 (#160) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More → 1092 (#55) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -4.0 (#228) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +0.4 (#161) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.528 (#154) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.9 More → 0.311 (#239) AdjNet -6.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.0 More → 0.307 (#240) AdjNet -7.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.4 | AdjD 83.9 More → 0.422 (#220) AdjO 80.4 | AdjD 83.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 81.3 | AdjD 79.5 More → 0.543 (#118) AdjO 81.3 | AdjD 79.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.497 (#173) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.521 (#161) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 94 | GP 31 More → 1046 (#136) RD 94 | GP 31

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 82 - 71
2013-11-09 vs Air Force Falcons W 71 - 63
2013-11-12 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 71 - 98
2013-11-16 vs Bluefield State Big Blue W 121 - 80
2013-11-18 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 92 - 105
2013-11-20 vs Bridgewater Eagles W 112 - 86
2013-11-27 @ William & Mary Tribe L 67 - 97
2013-12-03 @ Elon Phoenix L 70 - 87
2013-12-07 vs Wright State Raiders W 94 - 74
2013-12-09 vs Virginia Lynchburg Dragons W 110 - 78
2013-12-19 @ East Carolina Pirates L 94 - 103
2013-12-30 @ Clemson Tigers L 50 - 80
2014-01-04 vs Washington Maryland Shoremen W 128 - 54
2014-01-08 vs Longwood Lancers W 95 - 72
2014-01-11 vs Liberty Flames L 80 - 85
2014-01-15 @ Radford Highlanders W 101 - 88
2014-01-18 @ Campbell Fighting Camels L 93 - 97
2014-01-22 vs High Point Panthers W 82 - 80
2014-01-25 @ Winthrop Eagles L 57 - 58
2014-01-28 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 109 - 105
2014-01-31 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 107 - 93
2014-02-05 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 108 - 104
2014-02-08 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 92 - 84
2014-02-12 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 78 - 83
2014-02-15 @ Liberty Flames W 77 - 70
2014-02-19 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 84 - 81
2014-02-22 vs Radford Highlanders W 88 - 76
2014-02-26 @ High Point Panthers L 67 - 70
2014-03-01 @ Longwood Lancers W 86 - 66
2014-03-07 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 90 - 77
2014-03-08 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 62 - 66
2014-03-18 @ Canisius Golden Griffins W 111 - 100
2014-03-22 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 106 - 95
2014-03-26 @ Ohio Bobcats W 92 - 90
2014-04-01 vs Yale Bulldogs L 62 - 75

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D.J. Covington D.J. Covington F 33 29.9 20.5 9.4 0.8 1.0 3.0 2.2 4.5 27.9 148 26 5.7 8.3 59.3 0.0 63.6 0.49 183.8 59.3
QJ Peterson QJ Peterson G 33 33.2 19.0 5.5 2.0 1.7 0.3 2.2 5.2 21.2 120 26 4.6 6.1 38.2 38.6 72.6 0.25 158.7 47.6
Rodney Glasgow Rodney Glasgow G 33 38.0 18.8 4.0 5.8 1.3 0.0 1.8 4.3 23.8 161 26 6.2 7.3 44.0 34.5 81.5 2.01 202.8 50.7
Brian Brown Brian Brown G 32 25.4 7.0 1.9 1.7 0.6 0.0 0.9 1.8 8.6 67 24 2.8 5.1 35.1 35.7 80.0 -0.74 183.2 48.2
Jordan Weethee Jordan Weethee F 32 18.5 6.6 3.8 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.6 1.9 9.7 65 26 2.5 5.5 36.7 24.2 55.6 -1.51 164.2 43.3
Trey Chapman Trey Chapman F 33 17.3 4.1 3.0 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.5 6.4 105 26 4.0 9.6 31.2 6.2 64.0 -0.03 113.6 32.3
Tim Marshall Tim Marshall G 32 9.4 3.8 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 5.0 52 25 2.1 9.7 31.0 22.2 50.0 -0.62 173.5 37.9
Phillip Anglade Phillip Anglade F 33 15.4 3.2 4.3 0.3 0.6 1.2 0.3 0.9 8.4 44 26 1.7 5.0 48.3 0 40.0 -3.81 166.7 48.3
Craig Hinton Craig Hinton F 24 8.7 2.6 1.9 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.2 3.5 -6 18 -0.3 -1.6 33.3 25.0 55.6 -1.97 91.3 40.0
Julian Eleby Julian Eleby G 24 7.5 2.5 1.8 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.7 4.0 46 16 2.9 12.1 41.2 44.4 100.0 0.21 157.2 52.9
Jarid Watson Jarid Watson C 29 5.5 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.1 3.0 -16 22 -0.7 -5.7 0.0 0 50.0 -4.89 286.9 0.0
Christian Burton Christian Burton G 9 4.0 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.1 7 7 1.0 6.7 0.0 0.0 0 -1.92 400.0 0.0
Drew Absher Drew Absher G 7 5.4 0.7 0.3 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 1.1 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 125.0 0.0
Tyrell Mason Tyrell Mason F 8 2.8 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.0 -10 7 -1.4 -18.1 0 0 0 -2.92 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG