VMI
Model Outputs
1992-1993
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 620 (#287) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 691 (#288) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 810 (#295) | HCA +108 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -15.4 (#282) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -17.5 (#290) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.128 (#285) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.079 (#286) | AdjNet -21.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.078 (#285) | AdjNet -21.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.222 (#281) | AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 74.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.229 (#294) | AdjO 61.1 | AdjD 74.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.141 (#291) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.142 (#291) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 681 (#290) | RD 158 | GP 26 |
1993 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1992-12-05 | @ | Richmond | L | 65 - 77 |
| 1992-12-07 | @ | Radford | L | 88 - 91 |
| 1992-12-11 | N | Central Connecticut State | L | 77 - 84 |
| 1992-12-12 | N | Lafayette | W | 62 - 56 |
| 1993-01-02 | @ | Georgia Tech | L | 52 - 78 |
| 1993-01-06 | @ | East Tennessee State | L | 54 - 71 |
| 1993-01-09 | vs | Western Carolina | W | 67 - 56 |
| 1993-01-10 | vs | Chattanooga | L | 62 - 71 |
| 1993-01-13 | @ | Appalachian State | W | 93 - 86 |
| 1993-01-16 | vs | The Citadel | W | 76 - 74 |
| 1993-01-17 | vs | Georgia Southern | L | 70 - 73 |
| 1993-01-23 | @ | Davidson | L | 64 - 75 |
| 1993-01-24 | @ | Furman | L | 61 - 73 |
| 1993-01-27 | @ | Marshall | L | 66 - 80 |
| 1993-01-30 | vs | Appalachian State | L | 55 - 64 |
| 1993-01-31 | vs | East Tennessee State | L | 70 - 96 |
| 1993-02-03 | vs | William & Mary | L | 67 - 77 |
| 1993-02-06 | vs | Marshall | L | 69 - 78 |
| 1993-02-10 | @ | Virginia Tech | L | 44 - 75 |
| 1993-02-13 | @ | Chattanooga | L | 70 - 93 |
| 1993-02-14 | @ | Western Carolina | L | 51 - 84 |
| 1993-02-20 | @ | Georgia Southern | L | 63 - 69 |
| 1993-02-21 | @ | The Citadel | L | 53 - 69 |
| 1993-02-27 | vs | Furman | L | 69 - 85 |
| 1993-02-28 | vs | Davidson | L | 70 - 84 |
| 1993-03-04 | N | Furman | L | 51 - 76 |
1993 Roster
No roster data available for this season.