VMI Keydets
Model Outputs
1991-1992
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 768 (#255) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 819 (#247) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 913 (#237) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.3 (#263) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.1 (#254) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.224 (#252) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.136 (#262) | AdjNet -16.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.133 (#262) | AdjNet -16.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.280 (#262) | AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 73.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.329 (#254) | AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 72.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.241 (#255) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.249 (#255) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 815 (#249) | RD 153 | GP 26 |
1992 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1991-11-29 | @ | Weber State | L | 65 - 83 |
| 1991-11-30 | N | Army | L | 53 - 59 |
| 1991-12-04 | vs | Radford | W | 79 - 69 |
| 1991-12-07 | vs | Liberty | L | 55 - 64 |
| 1991-12-18 | @ | Wake Forest | L | 43 - 74 |
| 1991-12-30 | @ | Dayton | L | 56 - 84 |
| 1992-01-08 | @ | Richmond | L | 59 - 76 |
| 1992-01-11 | @ | Western Carolina | W | 79 - 74 |
| 1992-01-13 | @ | Chattanooga | L | 69 - 83 |
| 1992-01-16 | vs | Winthrop | W | 67 - 52 |
| 1992-01-18 | @ | Marshall | W | 74 - 69 |
| 1992-01-25 | vs | East Tennessee State | L | 68 - 80 |
| 1992-01-27 | vs | Appalachian State | L | 67 - 80 |
| 1992-01-29 | vs | UNC Asheville | W | 62 - 51 |
| 1992-02-01 | @ | The Citadel | L | 60 - 66 |
| 1992-02-03 | @ | Furman | L | 57 - 74 |
| 1992-02-08 | vs | Chattanooga | L | 75 - 85 |
| 1992-02-10 | vs | Western Carolina | L | 88 - 89 |
| 1992-02-13 | @ | Winthrop | W | 71 - 63 |
| 1992-02-15 | vs | Marshall | L | 72 - 79 |
| 1992-02-18 | @ | William & Mary | W | 76 - 68 |
| 1992-02-22 | @ | Appalachian State | L | 65 - 88 |
| 1992-02-24 | @ | East Tennessee State | L | 84 - 92 |
| 1992-02-29 | vs | Furman | L | 65 - 72 |
| 1992-03-02 | vs | The Citadel | W | 64 - 60 |
| 1992-03-06 | N | Chattanooga | L | 49 - 84 |
1992 Roster
No roster data available for this season.