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VMI Keydets

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: VMI Keydets
Program History
Coach: Dan Earl

2020 Team Stats (2 games)

96.0
PPG
49.0
Opp
+47.0
Margin
56.9%
FG%
53.1%
3P%
78.3%
FT%
39.5
RPG
22.0
APG
10.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.4
Adj PPG
72.7
Adj Opp PPG
#249
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 810 (#287) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 753 (#330) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More → 871 (#309) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -5.7 (#248) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More → -4.4 (#232) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.339 (#270) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.0 More → 0.262 (#250) AdjNet -9.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.0 More → 0.262 (#249) AdjNet -9.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 72.7 More → 0.383 (#249) AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 72.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 71.1 More → 0.428 (#251) AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 71.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.321 (#272) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.330 (#272) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 30 More → 798 (#303) RD 99 | GP 30

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-11-05 @ East Carolina Pirates L 68 - 80
2019-11-08 vs Marist Red Foxes L 56 - 58
2019-11-11 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose L 77 - 80
2019-11-14 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 56 - 71
2019-11-15 vs Idaho Vandals L 67 - 68
2019-11-17 @ UC Davis Aggies W 89 - 84
2019-11-20 vs Christendom Crusaders W 96 - 20
2019-11-24 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 63 - 74
2019-11-26 vs Goucher Gophers W 98 - 32
2019-12-04 @ Duquesne Dukes L 58 - 71
2019-12-07 vs Stetson Hatters W 88 - 61
2019-12-11 vs Ferrum Panthers W 78 - 60
2019-12-21 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 55 - 64
2019-12-29 @ South Carolina Upstate Spartans L 82 - 91
2020-01-01 vs Furman Paladins L 73 - 89
2020-01-04 vs Samford Bulldogs L 75 - 78
2020-01-08 vs Western Carolina Catamounts L 85 - 97
2020-01-11 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 55 - 61
2020-01-15 @ Mercer Bears L 62 - 73
2020-01-18 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 88 - 79
2020-01-22 @ Wofford Terriers L 54 - 66
2020-01-25 vs Mercer Bears L 66 - 69
2020-01-29 @ Furman Paladins L 72 - 74
2020-02-05 vs Wofford Terriers L 73 - 79
2020-02-08 @ The Citadel Bulldogs W 75 - 64
2020-02-12 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 67 - 86
2020-02-15 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 67 - 72
2020-02-19 @ Western Carolina Catamounts W 74 - 71
2020-02-22 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans L 68 - 71
2020-02-26 vs Chattanooga Mocs L 64 - 71
2020-02-29 @ Samford Bulldogs L 78 - 84
2020-03-06 @ Samford Bulldogs W 96 - 78
2020-03-07 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 57 - 70

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Travis Evee Travis Evee - 32 28.6 12.4 2.3 2.3 1.4 0.1 1.7 2.2 14.6 11 30 0.4 0.5 42.3 29.8 100.0 -0.7 265.7 52.1
Garrett Gilkeson Garrett Gilkeson G 32 32.6 10.0 5.7 3.4 1.4 0.3 1.2 1.5 18.0 45 30 1.5 2.0 24.5 19.2 90.9 3.46 297.2 29.6
Kamdyn Curfman Kamdyn Curfman - 32 29.8 9.8 2.4 1.7 0.8 0.0 1.2 2.3 11.2 5 30 0.2 0.2 41.9 38.6 50.0 -1.72 205.5 56.8
Greg Parham Greg Parham - 31 24.3 9.7 2.7 2.9 0.7 0.0 1.6 2.0 12.4 -9 29 -0.3 -0.6 52.4 35.7 66.7 -2.15 224.0 60.3
Myles Lewis Myles Lewis F 32 18.7 7.7 3.5 0.8 0.8 0.2 1.7 1.8 9.5 -72 29 -2.5 -5.6 54.2 0.0 66.7 -2.88 186.7 54.2
Jake Stephens Jake Stephens - 30 19.4 7.6 4.7 2.0 0.4 1.1 1.1 2.1 12.5 76 30 2.5 5.8 40.6 37.2 90.0 0.49 165.9 53.1
A. Seka A. Seka G 1 21.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Sean Conway Sean Conway - 28 15.9 5.8 2.9 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.8 1.4 7.7 82 27 3.0 8.1 48.7 48.0 57.1 2.07 191.3 64.1
J. Carter J. Carter - 1 25.0 5.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 12.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Connor Arnold Connor Arnold F 6 9.5 4.7 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.3 24 5 4.8 29.4 50.0 50.0 0.0 0.25 203.5 66.7
Louis Tang Louis Tang G 32 13.5 4.5 2.5 0.7 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.8 6.6 52 29 1.8 5.8 45.8 45.5 66.7 1.54 259.3 56.2
Tragen Fahl Tragen Fahl F 6 6.8 3.5 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.7 1.3 4.3 13 5 2.6 27.7 75.0 0 0 -0.37 131.2 75.0
Tyler Creammer Tyler Creammer C 32 13.2 3.4 4.5 1.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.4 8.0 -121 29 -4.2 -12.6 53.8 25.0 37.5 -7.69 326.9 57.7
T. O'Farrell T. O'Farrell - 1 16.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Collins D. Collins - 1 17.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Jiles T. Jiles G 1 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jordan Richeson Jordan Richeson G 5 7.0 2.0 0.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.2 - - - - 60.0 66.7 0 -0.92 100.0 80.0
C. Issacs C. Issacs - 1 27.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 -2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Will Miller Will Miller F 27 6.3 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 2.6 17 24 0.7 5.0 81.8 100.0 0 -1.39 195.5 90.9
P. Goralski P. Goralski - 1 15.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Morton D. Morton - 1 23.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Ahluwalia A. Ahluwalia F 1 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
S. Wolfe S. Wolfe - 1 8.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Groome M. Groome - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG