🐻⬇️🏀

VMI Keydets

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: VMI Keydets
Program History
Coach: Dan Earl

2017 Team Stats (1 games)

55.0
PPG
90.0
Opp
-35.0
Margin
35.2%
FG%
32.0%
3P%
56.3%
FT%
29.0
RPG
14.0
APG
22.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.1
Adj PPG
78.1
Adj Opp PPG
#324
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 695 (#327) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 735 (#332) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More → 845 (#340) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → -12.6 (#321) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → -13.1 (#329) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.132 (#339) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -18.0 More → 0.111 (#323) AdjNet -18.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -18.2 More → 0.109 (#323) AdjNet -18.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 78.1 More → 0.251 (#324) AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 78.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 76.1 More → 0.284 (#339) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 76.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.190 (#331) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.195 (#332) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 157 | GP 28 More → 728 (#331) RD 157 | GP 28

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 @ Richmond Spiders L 69 - 72
2016-11-15 vs Southern Virginia Knights W 78 - 47
2016-11-19 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 72 - 88
2016-11-22 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose L 67 - 77
2016-11-26 vs Campbell Fighting Camels L 53 - 67
2016-11-30 @ Radford Highlanders L 67 - 74
2016-12-03 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 68 - 86
2016-12-10 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 55 - 90
2016-12-13 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 88 - 83
2016-12-20 vs Frostburg State Bobcats W 72 - 53
2016-12-23 @ Dayton Flyers L 56 - 92
2016-12-31 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 75 - 102
2017-01-05 @ Mercer Bears L 50 - 68
2017-01-07 @ The Citadel Bulldogs L 74 - 79
2017-01-12 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 79 - 78
2017-01-14 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans L 82 - 91
2017-01-19 @ Wofford Terriers L 70 - 88
2017-01-21 @ Furman Paladins L 72 - 89
2017-01-25 @ Chattanooga Mocs W 80 - 64
2017-01-28 vs Samford Bulldogs L 67 - 69
2017-02-02 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 71 - 81
2017-02-09 vs Mercer Bears L 51 - 81
2017-02-11 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 101 - 78
2017-02-13 vs Furman Paladins L 52 - 80
2017-02-15 vs Chattanooga Mocs L 68 - 74
2017-02-18 @ Samford Bulldogs L 61 - 80
2017-02-22 vs Wofford Terriers L 63 - 81
2017-02-25 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 67 - 74
2017-02-27 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 68 - 81
2017-03-03 @ Samford Bulldogs L 61 - 79

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
QJ Peterson QJ Peterson G 11 32.4 20.5 6.5 2.8 2.0 0.1 2.5 4.5 24.9 -143 26 -5.5 -7.9 59.2 59.1 68.2 1.19 191.7 72.4
Julian Eleby Julian Eleby G 11 32.5 13.4 4.1 1.6 0.9 0.3 1.9 1.9 16.5 -195 26 -7.5 -10.7 42.9 31.2 58.3 -3.77 279.7 54.8
Trey Chapman Trey Chapman F 11 28.1 9.7 6.1 1.0 0.7 0.8 1.5 2.6 14.2 -126 26 -4.8 -8.5 37.9 0.0 33.3 0.34 176.5 37.9
Armani Branch Armani Branch F 10 15.0 6.6 3.5 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.1 8.8 -57 23 -2.5 -6.4 54.5 20.0 0 1.16 300.0 59.1
Adrian Rich Adrian Rich G 11 26.3 6.1 0.9 1.9 1.0 0.0 1.6 1.5 6.7 -166 26 -6.4 -11.0 35.3 25.0 100.0 -1.8 178.6 41.2
Keith Smith Keith Smith G 11 20.0 5.0 0.6 2.1 0.7 0.4 1.2 0.7 6.9 -112 26 -4.3 -9.9 25.0 40.0 75.0 -1.66 281.8 37.5
Garrett Gilkeson Garrett Gilkeson G 11 10.9 2.1 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.9 0.6 3.1 -71 25 -2.8 -11.0 28.6 40.0 100.0 -1.53 154.6 42.9
Fred Iruafemi Fred Iruafemi F 11 12.2 1.9 2.1 0.7 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.7 5.0 -47 25 -1.9 -7.8 62.5 0 0 0.14 131.2 62.5
Will Miller Will Miller F 11 11.3 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.5 3.0 -78 26 -3.0 -13.7 40.0 0 50.0 -4.09 178.6 40.0
Chuchu Enechionyia Chuchu Enechionyia G 3 4.3 1.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 50.0 -0.78 170.5 0
Tyler Creammer Tyler Creammer C 11 5.8 0.7 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 1.3 -74 21 -3.5 -23.4 50.0 0 0 -3.59 200.0 50.0
Austin Vereen Austin Vereen G 9 6.4 0.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.4 -88 23 -3.8 -24.6 25.0 25.0 0 -5.95 62.5 37.5
Will Weethee Will Weethee - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Mahaffey D. Mahaffey F 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Marcus Larsson Marcus Larsson - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG