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VMI Keydets

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: VMI Keydets
Program History
Coach: Dan Earl

2016 Team Stats (2 games)

58.5
PPG
90.5
Opp
-32.0
Margin
35.8%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
72.2%
FT%
27.0
RPG
10.0
APG
12.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.0
Adj PPG
75.4
Adj Opp PPG
#310
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 776 (#300) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 802 (#301) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More → 892 (#305) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -11.0 (#309) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -10.8 (#309) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.172 (#328) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -17.1 More → 0.122 (#316) AdjNet -17.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.2 More → 0.120 (#316) AdjNet -17.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 75.4 More → 0.279 (#310) AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 75.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 76.2 More → 0.335 (#317) AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 76.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.226 (#316) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.235 (#319) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 154 | GP 27 More → 775 (#312) RD 154 | GP 27

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-14 @ Penn State Nittany Lions L 50 - 62
2015-11-17 vs Tusculum Pioneers W 88 - 76
2015-11-21 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 52 - 76
2015-11-24 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 76 - 61
2015-11-30 @ Campbell Fighting Camels L 65 - 66
2015-12-02 vs Central Penn Knights W 107 - 72
2015-12-05 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 62 - 89
2015-12-07 @ Butler Bulldogs L 66 - 93
2015-12-12 vs Navy Midshipmen L 62 - 68
2015-12-21 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 76 - 75
2015-12-30 vs Bridgewater Eagles W 72 - 37
2016-01-02 @ Furman Paladins L 57 - 85
2016-01-05 vs Wofford Terriers L 61 - 65
2016-01-09 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 52 - 73
2016-01-11 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 51 - 88
2016-01-17 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 68 - 85
2016-01-21 vs Samford Bulldogs W 83 - 76
2016-01-23 vs Chattanooga Mocs - Postponed
2016-01-25 vs Furman Paladins L 56 - 68
2016-01-28 @ Mercer Bears L 58 - 73
2016-01-30 @ The Citadel Bulldogs L 75 - 78
2016-02-04 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 60 - 71
2016-02-06 vs Western Carolina Catamounts L 60 - 69
2016-02-08 @ Wofford Terriers L 60 - 92
2016-02-11 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 86 - 72
2016-02-18 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 59 - 85
2016-02-20 @ Samford Bulldogs L 67 - 73
2016-02-25 vs Mercer Bears W 91 - 82
2016-02-27 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 111 - 95
2016-02-29 vs Chattanooga Mocs L 65 - 67
2016-03-04 @ Samford Bulldogs L 85 - 92

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
QJ Peterson QJ Peterson G 27 33.9 19.0 6.1 2.7 1.4 0.4 2.9 2.2 24.6 -208 19 -10.9 -13.6 40.0 44.8 100.0 -1.92 401.8 50.8
Julian Eleby Julian Eleby G 27 33.3 13.5 4.6 2.7 1.0 0.2 2.6 1.5 17.9 -180 19 -9.5 -11.8 43.9 40.7 80.0 -0.59 402.0 57.3
Phillip Anglade Phillip Anglade F 27 26.3 8.9 5.6 0.6 0.7 1.7 1.0 1.1 15.3 -188 19 -9.9 -15.8 53.3 0 28.6 -2.2 362.8 53.3
Trey Chapman Trey Chapman F 24 26.1 8.2 4.8 1.0 0.5 0.6 1.5 1.2 12.2 -195 17 -11.5 -18.8 46.7 55.6 100.0 -4.83 317.4 55.0
Tim Marshall Tim Marshall G 27 21.0 7.3 2.3 1.1 0.7 0.1 1.2 1.5 8.8 -108 19 -5.7 -11.4 22.5 22.6 0.0 -0.42 240.9 31.2
Jordan Weethee Jordan Weethee F 26 13.5 3.7 1.9 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.6 0.3 5.4 -30 19 -1.6 -5.2 33.3 37.5 0 0.44 527.8 50.0
Adrian Rich Adrian Rich G 27 18.5 3.4 1.1 1.4 0.6 0.1 1.5 0.3 4.8 -139 19 -7.3 -18.0 25.0 0.0 66.7 -3.85 432.3 25.0
Austin Vereen Austin Vereen G 25 15.7 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.5 0.2 1.0 0.3 4.9 -71 17 -4.2 -11.3 14.3 0.0 0 -1.05 578.6 14.3
Fred Iruafemi Fred Iruafemi F 26 11.0 1.9 2.0 0.6 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.2 5.2 -28 19 -1.5 -5.9 40.0 0 0 -0.34 500.0 40.0
Armani Branch Armani Branch F 15 7.7 1.7 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.3 2.7 -38 11 -3.5 -21.0 0.0 0.0 0 -2.97 325.0 0.0
Chase Jones Chase Jones - 3 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Will Weethee Will Weethee - 5 2.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.4 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D'Andre Mahaffey D'Andre Mahaffey F 9 4.9 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.7 -22 7 -3.1 -41.2 0 0 0 -3.87 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG