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VMI Keydets

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: VMI Keydets
Program History
Coach: Duggar Baucom

2014 Team Stats (3 games)

88.0
PPG
89.0
Opp
-1.0
Margin
46.3%
FG%
36.4%
3P%
61.3%
FT%
43.0
RPG
12.7
APG
8.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
80.4
Adj PPG
83.9
Adj Opp PPG
#220
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1096 (#101) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1012 (#160) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More → 1092 (#55) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -4.0 (#228) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +0.4 (#161) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.528 (#154) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.9 More → 0.311 (#239) AdjNet -6.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.0 More → 0.307 (#240) AdjNet -7.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.4 | AdjD 83.9 More → 0.422 (#220) AdjO 80.4 | AdjD 83.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 81.3 | AdjD 79.5 More → 0.543 (#118) AdjO 81.3 | AdjD 79.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.497 (#173) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.521 (#161) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 94 | GP 31 More → 1046 (#136) RD 94 | GP 31

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 82 - 71
2013-11-09 vs Air Force Falcons W 71 - 63
2013-11-12 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 71 - 98
2013-11-16 vs Bluefield State Big Blue W 121 - 80
2013-11-18 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 92 - 105
2013-11-20 vs Bridgewater Eagles W 112 - 86
2013-11-27 @ William & Mary Tribe L 67 - 97
2013-12-03 @ Elon Phoenix L 70 - 87
2013-12-07 vs Wright State Raiders W 94 - 74
2013-12-09 vs Virginia Lynchburg Dragons W 110 - 78
2013-12-19 @ East Carolina Pirates L 94 - 103
2013-12-30 @ Clemson Tigers L 50 - 80
2014-01-04 vs Washington Maryland Shoremen W 128 - 54
2014-01-08 vs Longwood Lancers W 95 - 72
2014-01-11 vs Liberty Flames L 80 - 85
2014-01-15 @ Radford Highlanders W 101 - 88
2014-01-18 @ Campbell Fighting Camels L 93 - 97
2014-01-22 vs High Point Panthers W 82 - 80
2014-01-25 @ Winthrop Eagles L 57 - 58
2014-01-28 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 109 - 105
2014-01-31 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 107 - 93
2014-02-05 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 108 - 104
2014-02-08 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 92 - 84
2014-02-12 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 78 - 83
2014-02-15 @ Liberty Flames W 77 - 70
2014-02-19 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 84 - 81
2014-02-22 vs Radford Highlanders W 88 - 76
2014-02-26 @ High Point Panthers L 67 - 70
2014-03-01 @ Longwood Lancers W 86 - 66
2014-03-07 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 90 - 77
2014-03-08 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 62 - 66
2014-03-18 @ Canisius Golden Griffins W 111 - 100
2014-03-22 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 106 - 95
2014-03-26 @ Ohio Bobcats W 92 - 90
2014-04-01 vs Yale Bulldogs L 62 - 75

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D.J. Covington D.J. Covington F 29 29.7 20.6 9.4 0.9 1.0 2.8 2.3 3.1 29.3 148 26 5.7 8.3 64.4 0.0 60.5 0.49 280.2 64.4
Rodney Glasgow Rodney Glasgow G 29 38.0 19.2 4.0 6.1 1.3 0.0 1.7 2.8 26.2 161 26 6.2 7.3 38.8 21.9 88.9 2.01 317.3 43.1
QJ Peterson QJ Peterson G 29 33.4 19.1 5.8 2.2 1.7 0.3 2.3 3.3 23.4 120 26 4.6 6.1 39.6 43.8 60.0 0.25 263.8 50.5
Brian Brown Brian Brown G 28 25.1 7.2 1.8 1.8 0.6 0.0 0.8 0.9 9.7 67 24 2.8 5.1 52.0 45.0 100.0 -0.74 392.2 70.0
Jordan Weethee Jordan Weethee F 28 18.3 7.0 3.8 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.5 1.0 11.0 65 26 2.5 5.5 44.8 33.3 66.7 -1.51 323.2 51.7
Tim Marshall Tim Marshall G 28 10.2 4.4 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 5.9 52 25 2.1 9.7 37.5 28.6 50.0 -0.62 202.3 45.8
Trey Chapman Trey Chapman F 29 17.4 4.1 2.9 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.1 6.7 105 26 4.0 9.6 32.3 0.0 56.2 -0.03 155.1 32.3
Phillip Anglade Phillip Anglade F 29 16.0 3.4 4.6 0.3 0.7 1.3 0.3 0.7 9.4 44 26 1.7 5.0 47.4 0 40.0 -3.81 235.8 47.4
Craig Hinton Craig Hinton F 20 8.3 2.5 1.7 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 4.2 -6 18 -0.3 -1.6 50.0 25.0 75.0 -1.97 261.3 56.2
Julian Eleby Julian Eleby G 21 7.5 2.3 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.5 3.7 46 16 2.9 12.1 36.4 33.3 100.0 0.21 209.8 45.5
Jarid Watson Jarid Watson C 26 5.9 1.1 1.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.2 3.3 -16 22 -0.7 -5.7 0.0 0 50.0 -4.89 286.9 0.0
Christian Burton Christian Burton G 8 4.4 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.0 1.4 7 7 1.0 6.7 0 0 0 -1.92 0 0
Drew Absher Drew Absher G 6 5.5 0.8 0.3 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.0 1.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tyrell Mason Tyrell Mason F 7 3.0 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.1 -10 7 -1.4 -18.1 0 0 0 -2.92 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG