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VMI Keydets

2007 Team Stats (1 games)

69.0
PPG
107.0
Opp
-38.0
Margin
30.2%
FG%
23.4%
3P%
50.0%
FT%
42.0
RPG
15.0
APG
24.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
92.2
Adj PPG
97.8
Adj Opp PPG
#238
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2006-2007
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 859 (#240) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 808 (#296) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +118 elo More โ†’ 965 (#212) HCA +118 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -6.2 (#237) HCA +3.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -3.6 (#209) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.422 (#192) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.0 More โ†’ 0.263 (#233) AdjNet -9.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.0 More โ†’ 0.261 (#232) AdjNet -9.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 92.2 | AdjD 97.8 More โ†’ 0.375 (#238) AdjO 92.2 | AdjD 97.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 89.8 | AdjD 91.6 More โ†’ 0.460 (#194) AdjO 89.8 | AdjD 91.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.365 (#222) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.381 (#214) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 29 More โ†’ 858 (#255) RD 150 | GP 29

2007 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2006-11-10 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 69 - 107
2006-11-11 @ Princeton Tigers L 68 - 73
2006-11-12 @ South Dakota State Jackrabbits W 104 - 89
2006-11-15 vs VA Intermont Cobras W 156 - 95
2006-11-20 vs Southern Virginia Knights W 144 - 127
2006-11-22 @ James Madison Dukes L 87 - 89
2006-11-25 @ Howard Bison L 111 - 116
2006-11-28 @ Army Black Knights L 72 - 79
2006-12-01 vs Cornell Big Red L 94 - 99
2006-12-02 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 85 - 87
2006-12-06 vs Lees McRae Bobcats W 135 - 75
2006-12-09 vs Mercer Bears L 103 - 105
2006-12-11 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 99 - 87
2006-12-20 @ Richmond Spiders W 93 - 84
2006-12-30 @ Penn State Nittany Lions L 111 - 129
2007-01-06 @ Winthrop Eagles L 76 - 108
2007-01-10 vs High Point Panthers L 104 - 115
2007-01-13 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 116 - 83
2007-01-15 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 97 - 99
2007-01-18 vs Bridgewater College (VA) Eagles W 125 - 95
2007-01-22 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 102 - 97
2007-01-25 vs Radford Highlanders W 103 - 94
2007-01-27 @ Liberty Flames L 117 - 122
2007-01-31 vs Winthrop Eagles L 96 - 109
2007-02-03 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 99 - 108
2007-02-05 @ Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 105 - 97
2007-02-10 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 102 - 88
2007-02-14 @ Radford Highlanders L 107 - 114
2007-02-21 vs Liberty Flames L 108 - 118
2007-02-24 @ High Point Panthers L 92 - 109
2007-02-27 @ Liberty Flames W 79 - 78
2007-03-01 vs High Point Panthers W 91 - 81
2007-03-03 @ Winthrop Eagles L 81 - 84

2007 Roster

No roster data available for this season.