VMI Keydets
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 661 (#302) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 658 (#311) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 823 (#311) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.3 (#294) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.1 (#292) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.129 (#301) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.113 (#287) | AdjNet -17.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.112 (#286) | AdjNet -17.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.242 (#300) | AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 76.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.297 (#299) | AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 74.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.169 (#306) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.177 (#304) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 669 (#307) | RD 162 | GP 25 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-21 | @ | Virginia | L | 57 - 98 |
| 1999-11-26 | N | Oral Roberts | W | 56 - 44 |
| 1999-11-27 | @ | Hawaii | L | 61 - 78 |
| 1999-12-06 | vs | Virginia Tech | L | 46 - 65 |
| 1999-12-08 | vs | Old Dominion | L | 62 - 71 |
| 1999-12-18 | @ | Notre Dame | L | 66 - 79 |
| 1999-12-21 | @ | Virginia Commonwealth | L | 86 - 101 |
| 1999-12-28 | @ | Florida | L | 68 - 113 |
| 2000-01-04 | @ | UNC Greensboro | L | 71 - 82 |
| 2000-01-08 | vs | College of Charleston | L | 69 - 77 |
| 2000-01-10 | @ | Chattanooga | L | 73 - 84 |
| 2000-01-15 | vs | The Citadel | L | 84 - 87 |
| 2000-01-17 | @ | Appalachian State | L | 72 - 97 |
| 2000-01-22 | @ | Davidson | L | 69 - 80 |
| 2000-01-24 | vs | UNC Greensboro | L | 61 - 75 |
| 2000-01-29 | vs | East Tennessee State | L | 64 - 75 |
| 2000-01-31 | @ | Georgia Southern | L | 67 - 69 |
| 2000-02-05 | vs | Western Carolina | L | 82 - 85 |
| 2000-02-07 | @ | Wofford | L | 69 - 83 |
| 2000-02-12 | @ | East Tennessee State | L | 60 - 72 |
| 2000-02-14 | vs | Appalachian State | W | 78 - 69 |
| 2000-02-19 | @ | Western Carolina | L | 71 - 88 |
| 2000-02-21 | vs | Davidson | L | 58 - 71 |
| 2000-02-26 | vs | Furman | L | 68 - 71 |
| 2000-03-02 | N | Wofford | L | 72 - 81 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.