VMI Keydets
Model Outputs
1998-1999
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 842 (#228) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 927 (#210) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 968 (#196) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.1 (#275) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.3 (#269) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.188 (#274) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.133 (#271) | AdjNet -16.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.129 (#272) | AdjNet -16.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.267 (#276) | AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 76.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.352 (#262) | AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 71.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.264 (#259) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.280 (#254) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 920 (#212) | RD 159 | GP 22 |
1999 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998-11-16 | @ | Penn State | L | 66 - 90 |
| 1998-11-24 | @ | Old Dominion | L | 69 - 103 |
| 1998-11-30 | vs | Wake Forest | L | 61 - 75 |
| 1998-12-07 | @ | UNC Greensboro | W | 86 - 84 |
| 1998-12-10 | @ | Charlotte | L | 57 - 92 |
| 1998-12-22 | @ | Virginia | L | 64 - 82 |
| 1999-01-02 | @ | East Tennessee State | W | 58 - 55 |
| 1999-01-04 | vs | Davidson | L | 64 - 85 |
| 1999-01-09 | @ | Appalachian State | L | 64 - 100 |
| 1999-01-11 | @ | Western Carolina | W | 91 - 72 |
| 1999-01-16 | vs | Georgia Southern | W | 65 - 59 |
| 1999-01-18 | vs | Wofford | W | 58 - 56 |
| 1999-01-23 | vs | Western Carolina | W | 85 - 73 |
| 1999-01-25 | @ | Davidson | L | 66 - 76 |
| 1999-01-30 | @ | Furman | L | 51 - 84 |
| 1999-02-01 | @ | The Citadel | W | 74 - 72 |
| 1999-02-06 | vs | East Tennessee State | L | 81 - 83 |
| 1999-02-08 | @ | College of Charleston | L | 59 - 85 |
| 1999-02-13 | vs | Appalachian State | L | 65 - 83 |
| 1999-02-15 | vs | UNC Greensboro | W | 82 - 67 |
| 1999-02-20 | vs | Chattanooga | W | 73 - 57 |
| 1999-02-25 | N | Furman | L | 49 - 57 |
1999 Roster
No roster data available for this season.