VMI
Model Outputs
1997-1998
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 821 (#232) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 928 (#195) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 957 (#203) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.1 (#248) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.7 (#263) | HCA +3.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.296 (#238) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.180 (#247) | AdjNet -13.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.178 (#247) | AdjNet -13.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.320 (#248) | AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 78.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.346 (#261) | AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 78.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.285 (#246) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.289 (#250) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 907 (#208) | RD 154 | GP 23 |
1998 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1997-11-15 | @ | Wake Forest | L | 70 - 88 |
| 1997-11-25 | @ | Old Dominion | L | 69 - 84 |
| 1997-12-06 | vs | Charlotte | L | 70 - 88 |
| 1997-12-14 | vs | Penn State | W | 71 - 68 |
| 1997-12-22 | @ | Virginia | L | 55 - 92 |
| 1997-12-31 | @ | Virginia Tech | W | 73 - 65 |
| 1998-01-03 | @ | Georgia Southern | W | 76 - 73 |
| 1998-01-06 | vs | UNC Greensboro | W | 68 - 65 |
| 1998-01-10 | vs | Appalachian State | L | 71 - 76 |
| 1998-01-12 | @ | Davidson | W | 61 - 58 |
| 1998-01-17 | @ | Western Carolina | W | 80 - 78 |
| 1998-01-19 | vs | The Citadel | L | 62 - 67 |
| 1998-01-24 | @ | Chattanooga | L | 66 - 79 |
| 1998-01-26 | @ | UNC Greensboro | L | 60 - 72 |
| 1998-01-31 | vs | Western Carolina | W | 94 - 80 |
| 1998-02-02 | @ | Wofford | W | 92 - 80 |
| 1998-02-07 | @ | Army | L | 76 - 78 |
| 1998-02-10 | vs | Furman | W | 87 - 81 |
| 1998-02-14 | @ | Appalachian State | L | 74 - 94 |
| 1998-02-16 | vs | Davidson | L | 66 - 90 |
| 1998-02-19 | @ | East Tennessee State | L | 66 - 78 |
| 1998-02-21 | vs | East Tennessee State | W | 74 - 65 |
| 1998-02-27 | N | The Citadel | L | 66 - 77 |
1998 Roster
No roster data available for this season.