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VCU

Also known as: VCU Rams, VCU
Program History

2011 Team Stats (9 games)

74.4
PPG
68.1
Opp
+6.3
Margin
42.5%
FG%
40.1%
3P%
65.8%
FT%
34.3
RPG
17.4
APG
10.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
73.5
Adj PPG
64.1
Adj Opp PPG
#58
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1437 (#10) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1271 (#22) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More โ†’ 1203 (#5) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +9.9 (#61) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +14.9 (#21) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.704 (#68) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.3 More โ†’ 0.822 (#68) AdjNet +13.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.4 More โ†’ 0.824 (#70) AdjNet +13.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 64.1 More โ†’ 0.703 (#58) AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 64.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 62.6 More โ†’ 0.733 (#16) AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 62.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.821 (#27) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.826 (#22) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 86 | GP 38 More โ†’ 1310 (#16) RD 86 | GP 38

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 101 - 86
2010-11-15 vs Winthrop Eagles W 67 - 54
2010-11-16 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 90 - 69
2010-11-24 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 72 - 77
2010-11-26 @ UCLA Bruins W 89 - 85
2010-12-01 @ South Florida Bulls L 59 - 60
2010-12-04 vs William & Mary Tribe W 59 - 55
2010-12-08 vs VMI Keydets W 86 - 80
2010-12-11 @ Richmond Spiders L 60 - 72
2010-12-18 vs Tulane Green Wave W 70 - 67
2010-12-21 @ UAB Blazers L 65 - 68
2010-12-29 vs Wofford Terriers W 75 - 66
2010-12-30 vs New Hampshire Wildcats W 78 - 65
2011-01-03 @ Georgia State Panthers L 66 - 76
2011-01-05 vs Drexel Dragons W 52 - 48
2011-01-08 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 82 - 64
2011-01-12 @ William & Mary Tribe W 70 - 52
2011-01-15 vs Northeastern Huskies W 73 - 64
2011-01-19 vs Georgia State Panthers W 71 - 54
2011-01-22 @ Old Dominion Monarchs W 59 - 50
2011-01-24 @ Towson Tigers W 80 - 76
2011-01-27 vs Hofstra Pride W 82 - 67
2011-01-29 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 79 - 70
2011-02-02 @ Northeastern Huskies L 80 - 91
2011-02-09 @ Delaware Blue Hens W 84 - 74
2011-02-15 vs George Mason Patriots L 51 - 71
2011-02-18 @ Wichita State Shockers W 68 - 67
2011-02-23 @ Drexel Dragons L 60 - 64
2011-02-26 vs James Madison Dukes L 69 - 72
2011-03-05 vs Drexel Dragons W 62 - 60
2011-03-06 @ George Mason Patriots W 79 - 63
2011-03-07 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 65 - 70
2011-03-16 @ USC Trojans W 59 - 46
2011-03-18 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 74 - 56
2011-03-20 @ Purdue Boilermakers W 94 - 76
2011-03-25 @ Florida State Seminoles W 72 - 71
2011-03-27 @ Kansas Jayhawks W 71 - 61
2011-04-02 @ Butler Bulldogs L 62 - 70

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jamie Skeen Jamie Skeen F 22 33.6 17.4 7.6 1.8 0.6 0.9 1.7 5.2 21.4 103 29 3.6 4.8 47.4 46.7 69.3 -0.17 129.9 53.5
Bradford Burgess Bradford Burgess G-F 23 34.7 14.1 6.7 1.8 1.0 0.8 1.5 4.4 18.5 166 30 5.5 7.2 46.5 47.9 69.4 4.66 139.1 57.9
Brandon Rozzell Brandon Rozzell G 16 24.9 11.4 3.1 1.0 1.4 0.0 1.0 6.0 9.9 107 25 4.3 7.2 46.9 47.1 92.3 2.09 90.0 64.1
Joey Rodriguez Joey Rodriguez G 23 35.0 10.6 3.1 5.9 1.6 0.0 2.3 4.3 14.7 133 30 4.4 5.7 31.3 33.3 70.4 0.83 110.0 40.4
Ed Nixon Ed Nixon G 23 26.0 7.1 2.5 2.1 1.1 0.3 1.2 2.7 9.3 108 30 3.6 6.5 32.8 28.6 84.6 1.97 122.2 37.7
Rob Brandenberg Rob Brandenberg G 22 14.0 5.1 1.5 0.4 0.7 0.1 0.5 1.2 6.2 68 29 2.3 8.2 30.8 26.7 50.0 2.28 195.5 38.5
Juvonte Reddic Juvonte Reddic F 21 11.4 3.5 1.9 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.7 1.0 4.6 34 26 1.3 5.2 61.9 0 42.9 0.8 134.4 61.9
Darius Theus Darius Theus G 23 14.0 2.7 1.6 1.9 0.8 0.3 1.4 0.8 5.0 53 30 1.8 5.3 57.9 0.0 22.2 -2.61 132.8 57.9
Troy Daniels Troy Daniels G 13 4.2 2.4 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.2 42 19 2.2 21.0 12.5 14.3 0 1.39 193.8 18.8
Toby Veal Toby Veal F 20 8.7 2.2 1.8 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.2 1.2 3.4 25 23 1.1 4.3 45.8 0 44.4 -0.03 78.7 45.8
D.J. Haley D.J. Haley C 23 9.3 1.4 2.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.4 3.5 18 28 0.6 3.4 60.0 0 75.0 -0.86 140.3 60.0
David Hinton David Hinton F 9 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7 -17 14 -1.2 -15.2 0.0 0 0.0 -4.08 159.6 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG