VCU
Model Outputs
1996-1997
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1019 (#134) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1012 (#135) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1002 (#151) | HCA +127 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.8 (#127) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.3 (#135) | HCA +3.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.588 (#114) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.601 (#123) | AdjNet +3.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.601 (#123) | AdjNet +3.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.548 (#121) | AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 67.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.528 (#127) | AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 68.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.549 (#125) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.544 (#125) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1041 (#118) | RD 147 | GP 27 |
1997 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996-11-23 | vs | Miami (OH) | L | 66 - 69 |
| 1996-11-26 | vs | Southern Utah | W | 81 - 59 |
| 1996-12-02 | @ | Radford | L | 77 - 81 |
| 1996-12-11 | vs | Louisiana | W | 79 - 59 |
| 1996-12-14 | @ | Pittsburgh | W | 58 - 55 |
| 1996-12-18 | vs | New Orleans | L | 46 - 61 |
| 1996-12-21 | N | Alabama | L | 69 - 72 |
| 1996-12-27 | N | Texas Christian | W | 94 - 81 |
| 1996-12-28 | @ | Wichita State | L | 50 - 80 |
| 1997-01-02 | @ | George Mason | W | 75 - 70 |
| 1997-01-08 | @ | James Madison | L | 65 - 73 |
| 1997-01-11 | vs | UNC Wilmington | W | 75 - 53 |
| 1997-01-15 | vs | East Carolina | L | 61 - 65 |
| 1997-01-18 | vs | Old Dominion | L | 65 - 82 |
| 1997-01-20 | @ | William & Mary | L | 61 - 69 |
| 1997-01-22 | @ | American | L | 73 - 80 |
| 1997-01-25 | @ | Richmond | W | 86 - 71 |
| 1997-01-27 | vs | South Florida | W | 75 - 70 |
| 1997-01-29 | vs | George Mason | W | 90 - 77 |
| 1997-02-01 | vs | William & Mary | W | 77 - 50 |
| 1997-02-05 | vs | James Madison | W | 72 - 60 |
| 1997-02-08 | vs | American | W | 72 - 61 |
| 1997-02-12 | @ | East Carolina | W | 73 - 66 |
| 1997-02-15 | @ | Old Dominion | L | 70 - 75 |
| 1997-02-19 | @ | UNC Wilmington | L | 81 - 91 |
| 1997-02-24 | vs | Richmond | W | 56 - 45 |
| 1997-03-01 | vs | William & Mary | L | 63 - 77 |
1997 Roster
No roster data available for this season.