VCU
Model Outputs
1994-1995
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1049 (#119) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1060 (#113) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 971 (#183) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.4 (#118) | HCA +3.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.8 (#128) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.510 (#149) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.648 (#110) | AdjNet +5.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.650 (#110) | AdjNet +5.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.578 (#111) | AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 66.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.498 (#149) | AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 69.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.553 (#128) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.537 (#132) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1063 (#110) | RD 132 | GP 28 |
1995 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994-11-26 | N | Iowa State | L | 59 - 66 |
| 1994-11-27 | N | New Orleans | W | 65 - 62 |
| 1994-11-30 | vs | Liberty | W | 62 - 45 |
| 1994-12-03 | vs | Alabama | L | 57 - 75 |
| 1994-12-05 | @ | Tennessee–Martin | W | 67 - 60 |
| 1994-12-10 | @ | Florida International | W | 76 - 67 |
| 1994-12-18 | @ | Illinois State | L | 68 - 77 |
| 1994-12-21 | vs | Tennessee State | W | 76 - 67 |
| 1994-12-28 | vs | Mount St. Mary's | W | 79 - 55 |
| 1994-12-31 | vs | Rhode Island | W | 87 - 66 |
| 1995-01-03 | vs | George Mason | W | 108 - 85 |
| 1995-01-05 | vs | Louisville | W | 67 - 63 |
| 1995-01-07 | vs | South Florida | W | 74 - 58 |
| 1995-01-11 | @ | Richmond | W | 79 - 72 |
| 1995-01-14 | @ | Virginia Tech | L | 69 - 78 |
| 1995-01-18 | @ | James Madison | L | 62 - 64 |
| 1995-01-26 | vs | Charlotte | L | 47 - 73 |
| 1995-01-28 | @ | South Florida | L | 71 - 80 |
| 1995-02-01 | vs | Radford | W | 93 - 66 |
| 1995-02-04 | vs | Southern Mississippi | L | 66 - 74 |
| 1995-02-06 | N | Old Dominion | W | 81 - 67 |
| 1995-02-08 | @ | Tulane | L | 64 - 79 |
| 1995-02-11 | @ | Southern Mississippi | L | 69 - 78 |
| 1995-02-18 | @ | Charlotte | L | 71 - 84 |
| 1995-02-23 | vs | Virginia Tech | W | 62 - 57 |
| 1995-02-25 | vs | Tulane | L | 59 - 74 |
| 1995-03-02 | @ | Louisville | L | 64 - 80 |
| 1995-03-10 | @ | Louisville | L | 61 - 84 |
1995 Roster
No roster data available for this season.