VCU
Model Outputs
1993-1994
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1079 (#116) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1105 (#87) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 984 (#173) | HCA +119 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.4 (#74) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.1 (#88) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.545 (#137) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.731 (#81) | AdjNet +8.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.734 (#81) | AdjNet +8.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.654 (#71) | AdjO 78.9 | AdjD 71.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.559 (#102) | AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 74.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.618 (#100) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.599 (#109) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1088 (#97) | RD 130 | GP 27 |
1994 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-11-27 | vs | James Madison | W | 88 - 73 |
| 1993-12-01 | vs | Radford | W | 70 - 64 |
| 1993-12-03 | @ | Liberty | W | 93 - 68 |
| 1993-12-07 | vs | Buffalo | W | 86 - 58 |
| 1993-12-11 | @ | Siena | W | 93 - 70 |
| 1993-12-18 | vs | Richmond | L | 61 - 76 |
| 1993-12-22 | @ | George Mason | W | 109 - 88 |
| 1993-12-29 | N | Iowa State | W | 91 - 84 |
| 1993-12-30 | @ | UTEP | L | 58 - 70 |
| 1994-01-03 | vs | Tulsa | L | 84 - 92 |
| 1994-01-08 | @ | Louisville | W | 93 - 89 |
| 1994-01-13 | @ | Tulane | L | 64 - 78 |
| 1994-01-15 | @ | Southern Mississippi | L | 64 - 69 |
| 1994-01-20 | vs | Oklahoma | W | 98 - 82 |
| 1994-01-22 | vs | South Florida | W | 72 - 68 |
| 1994-01-27 | vs | Southern Mississippi | W | 79 - 76 |
| 1994-01-29 | vs | Louisville | L | 74 - 94 |
| 1994-01-31 | N | Old Dominion | L | 74 - 79 |
| 1994-02-02 | @ | Evansville | L | 73 - 88 |
| 1994-02-10 | vs | Virginia Tech | W | 81 - 75 |
| 1994-02-12 | vs | Charlotte | L | 66 - 67 |
| 1994-02-17 | @ | Virginia Tech | L | 59 - 75 |
| 1994-02-23 | @ | Xavier | W | 79 - 76 |
| 1994-02-26 | vs | Tulane | L | 75 - 90 |
| 1994-03-03 | @ | Charlotte | L | 64 - 76 |
| 1994-03-05 | @ | South Florida | W | 91 - 80 |
| 1994-03-11 | N | Virginia Tech | L | 64 - 65 |
1994 Roster
No roster data available for this season.