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VA Intermont Cobras

Season: 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
Also known as: VA Intermont Cobras
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 859 (#988) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 903 (#933) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 995 (#332) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -26.4 (#1017) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -23.6 (#563) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 68.1 More → 0.423 (#486) AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 68.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.196 (#529) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.236 (#526) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 907 (#383) RD 350 | GP 1

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-12-29 @ Charleston Southern Buccaneers L 59 - 105

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Morris J. Morris - 1 33.0 17.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 15.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.24 0 0
J. Hart J. Hart - 1 36.0 16.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 26.0 -140 -7.4 -10.0 0 0 0 0.18 0 0
J.D. Tucker J.D. Tucker - 1 38.0 8.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 14.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.56 0 0
A. Goode A. Goode - 1 26.0 7.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 14.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Cromwell D. Cromwell - 1 33.0 4.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 12.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.64 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG