Utah Valley Wolverines
Model Outputs
2011-2012
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 872 (#235) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 855 (#262) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 966 (#210) | HCA +78 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.7 (#287) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.0 (#294) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.392 (#196) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.112 (#286) | AdjNet -18.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.108 (#284) | AdjNet -18.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.271 (#291) | AdjO 50.3 | AdjD 61.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.375 (#260) | AdjO 49.3 | AdjD 54.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.256 (#280) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.274 (#277) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 889 (#244) | RD 133 | GP 27 |
2012 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011-11-11 | @ | Long Beach State Beach | L | 43 - 75 |
| 2011-11-14 | vs | Walla Walla Wolves | - | Postponed |
| 2011-11-19 | vs | Idaho State Bengals | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2011-11-30 | @ | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | L | 65 - 80 |
| 2011-12-03 | vs | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | W | 78 - 62 |
| 2011-12-08 | vs | Weber State Wildcats | W | 63 - 59 |
| 2011-12-10 | vs | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | L | 59 - 60 |
| 2011-12-17 | vs | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | W | 73 - 56 |
| 2011-12-19 | vs | South Dakota Coyotes | L | 54 - 63 |
| 2011-12-21 | @ | Weber State Wildcats | W | 72 - 65 |
| 2011-12-28 | @ | Utah Utes | L | 51 - 82 |
| 2011-12-31 | @ | Boise State Broncos | L | 64 - 85 |
| 2012-01-05 | vs | San José State Spartans | L | 45 - 57 |
| 2012-01-07 | @ | Utah State Aggies | L | 43 - 61 |
| 2012-01-10 | vs | Longwood Lancers | W | 64 - 59 |
| 2012-01-17 | vs | Walla Walla Wolves | W | 104 - 46 |
| 2012-01-21 | @ | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | W | 58 - 54 |
| 2012-01-26 | @ | Chicago State Cougars | L | 42 - 69 |
| 2012-01-28 | @ | NJIT Highlanders | W | 61 - 54 |
| 2012-02-02 | vs | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | W | 66 - 51 |
| 2012-02-09 | vs | NJIT Highlanders | L | 46 - 48 |
| 2012-02-11 | vs | Chicago State Cougars | W | 74 - 61 |
| 2012-02-18 | @ | Seattle U Redhawks | L | 41 - 70 |
| 2012-02-23 | @ | Houston Christian Huskies | W | 62 - 41 |
| 2012-02-25 | @ | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | L | 70 - 71 |
| 2012-02-28 | vs | Houston Christian Huskies | W | 71 - 36 |
| 2012-03-03 | vs | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | L | 53 - 66 |
| 2012-03-09 | vs | NJIT Highlanders | T | 0 - 0 |
| 2012-03-10 | @ | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | T | 0 - 0 |
2012 Roster
No roster data available for this season.