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Utah State

Also known as: Utah State Aggies, Utah State
Program History

Model Outputs

2001-2002
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1124 (#80) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1159 (#57) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More โ†’ 1057 (#88) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.0 More โ†’ +6.2 (#81) HCA +4.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +1.6 (#135) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.795 (#28) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.3 More โ†’ 0.765 (#77) AdjNet +10.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.3 More โ†’ 0.767 (#78) AdjNet +10.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 59.9 More โ†’ 0.633 (#80) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 59.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 61.0 More โ†’ 0.574 (#84) AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 61.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.654 (#79) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.643 (#82) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 121 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1126 (#73) RD 121 | GP 30

2002 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2001-11-17 @ Montana State W 66 - 51
2001-11-23 @ Utah W 78 - 65
2001-11-28 vs Idaho State W 64 - 59
2001-12-01 vs Brigham Young W 90 - 81
2001-12-04 vs Montana State W 60 - 55
2001-12-08 @ Weber State L 64 - 67
2001-12-20 vs Cal State Northridge W 73 - 56
2001-12-22 vs Pacific W 81 - 71
2001-12-28 vs Centenary (LA) W 74 - 59
2001-12-29 vs Idaho State W 74 - 56
2002-01-03 @ Cal Poly L 58 - 61
2002-01-05 @ UC Santa Barbara W 60 - 56
2002-01-10 vs UC Irvine L 66 - 67
2002-01-12 vs Long Beach State W 70 - 66
2002-01-17 @ UC Riverside W 68 - 42
2002-01-19 @ Cal State Fullerton L 51 - 65
2002-01-26 @ Idaho W 57 - 46
2002-01-31 vs UC Santa Barbara W 72 - 64
2002-02-02 vs Cal Poly W 85 - 53
2002-02-07 @ Long Beach State W 60 - 53
2002-02-09 @ UC Irvine W 62 - 61
2002-02-14 vs Cal State Fullerton W 60 - 45
2002-02-16 vs UC Riverside W 59 - 42
2002-02-23 vs Idaho W 65 - 56
2002-02-28 @ Pacific L 51 - 55
2002-03-02 @ Cal State Northridge L 54 - 62
2002-03-07 N Idaho W 61 - 41
2002-03-08 N Pacific W 69 - 65
2002-03-09 N UC Santa Barbara L 56 - 60
2002-03-12 vs Montana State L 69 - 77

2002 Roster

No roster data available for this season.