Utah State
Model Outputs
2001-2002
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1124 (#80) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1159 (#57) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1057 (#88) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +6.2 (#81) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +1.6 (#135) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.795 (#28) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.765 (#77) | AdjNet +10.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.767 (#78) | AdjNet +10.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.633 (#80) | AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 59.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.574 (#84) | AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 61.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.654 (#79) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.643 (#82) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1126 (#73) | RD 121 | GP 30 |
2002 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001-11-17 | @ | Montana State | W | 66 - 51 |
| 2001-11-23 | @ | Utah | W | 78 - 65 |
| 2001-11-28 | vs | Idaho State | W | 64 - 59 |
| 2001-12-01 | vs | Brigham Young | W | 90 - 81 |
| 2001-12-04 | vs | Montana State | W | 60 - 55 |
| 2001-12-08 | @ | Weber State | L | 64 - 67 |
| 2001-12-20 | vs | Cal State Northridge | W | 73 - 56 |
| 2001-12-22 | vs | Pacific | W | 81 - 71 |
| 2001-12-28 | vs | Centenary (LA) | W | 74 - 59 |
| 2001-12-29 | vs | Idaho State | W | 74 - 56 |
| 2002-01-03 | @ | Cal Poly | L | 58 - 61 |
| 2002-01-05 | @ | UC Santa Barbara | W | 60 - 56 |
| 2002-01-10 | vs | UC Irvine | L | 66 - 67 |
| 2002-01-12 | vs | Long Beach State | W | 70 - 66 |
| 2002-01-17 | @ | UC Riverside | W | 68 - 42 |
| 2002-01-19 | @ | Cal State Fullerton | L | 51 - 65 |
| 2002-01-26 | @ | Idaho | W | 57 - 46 |
| 2002-01-31 | vs | UC Santa Barbara | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2002-02-02 | vs | Cal Poly | W | 85 - 53 |
| 2002-02-07 | @ | Long Beach State | W | 60 - 53 |
| 2002-02-09 | @ | UC Irvine | W | 62 - 61 |
| 2002-02-14 | vs | Cal State Fullerton | W | 60 - 45 |
| 2002-02-16 | vs | UC Riverside | W | 59 - 42 |
| 2002-02-23 | vs | Idaho | W | 65 - 56 |
| 2002-02-28 | @ | Pacific | L | 51 - 55 |
| 2002-03-02 | @ | Cal State Northridge | L | 54 - 62 |
| 2002-03-07 | N | Idaho | W | 61 - 41 |
| 2002-03-08 | N | Pacific | W | 69 - 65 |
| 2002-03-09 | N | UC Santa Barbara | L | 56 - 60 |
| 2002-03-12 | vs | Montana State | L | 69 - 77 |
2002 Roster
No roster data available for this season.