Utah St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1018 (#236) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1017 (#269) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1016 (#274) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +26.6 (#41) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.995 (#104) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.971 (#119) | AdjNet +30.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.977 (#112) | AdjNet +30.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.870 (#111) | AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 51.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.688 (#91) | AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 60.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.877 (#47) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.849 (#52) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1093 (#116) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-18 | vs | Western Colo. | L | 49 - 51 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheyenne Stubbs | - | 1 | 37.0 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 21.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 33.3 | 50.0 | - | 36.6 | 35.7 |
| Macy Smith | - | 1 | 36.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 40 | 5.7 | 9.3 | 21.4 | 20.0 | 66.7 | 0.41 | 36.1 | 28.6 |
| Tiairra Hill-Brown | - | 1 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 41.0 | 33.3 |
| Skye Miller | - | 1 | 21.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 51.0 | 40.0 |
| Ivory Finley | - | 1 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Samiana Suguturaga | - | 1 | 27.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 30.7 | 25.0 |
| Isabella Tanedo | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Livia Knapp | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Taylia Stimpson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Allyzee Verdan | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Gracie Johnson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Lauren Crocker | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Lillian Harris | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Ali Wetta | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Bridget Mullings | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG