Union Commonwealth
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 918 (#414) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 899 (#532) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.5 (#431) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.000 (#745) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.031 (#702) | AdjNet -29.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.029 (#700) | AdjNet -29.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.118 (#688) | AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 92.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.377 (#476) | AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 76.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.344 (#435) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.339 (#439) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 876 (#396) | RD 102 | GP 22 |
2023 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-11 | @ | Tuskegee | L | 67 - 71 |
| 2022-11-12 | @ | Lane | W | 64 - 58 |
| 2022-11-17 | vs | Mississippi Col. | W | 74 - 69 |
| 2022-11-19 | vs | Delta St. | W | 73 - 50 |
| 2022-11-22 | vs | McKendree | L | 58 - 69 |
| 2022-11-26 | vs | West Ga. | L | 64 - 71 |
| 2022-11-29 | vs | North Georgia | L | 55 - 69 |
| 2022-12-02 | @ | Christian Brothers | W | 77 - 62 |
| 2022-12-09 | @ | West Florida | W | 69 - 63 |
| 2022-12-11 | @ | Valdosta St. | W | 81 - 78 |
| 2022-12-16 | vs | Montevallo | W | 77 - 64 |
| 2022-12-18 | vs | AUM | W | 92 - 87 |
| 2022-12-31 | @ | West Ala. | L | 69 - 77 |
| 2023-01-02 | @ | UAH | L | 74 - 76 |
| 2023-01-05 | vs | Shorter | W | 69 - 68 |
| 2023-01-07 | vs | Lee | W | 61 - 54 |
| 2023-01-12 | @ | Delta St. | L | 71 - 75 |
| 2023-01-14 | @ | Mississippi Col. | W | 81 - 68 |
| 2023-01-18 | @ | West Ga. | L | 55 - 67 |
| 2023-01-26 | vs | Christian Brothers | W | 56 - 43 |
| 2023-02-02 | vs | West Florida | L | 79 - 85 |
| 2023-02-04 | vs | Valdosta St. | L | 102 - 103 |
| 2023-02-09 | @ | AUM | L | 80 - 86 |
| 2023-02-11 | @ | Montevallo | W | 99 - 85 |
| 2023-02-16 | vs | UAH | L | 62 - 76 |
| 2023-02-18 | vs | West Ala. | W | 73 - 56 |
| 2023-02-23 | @ | Lee | L | 55 - 72 |
| 2023-02-25 | @ | Shorter | L | 73 - 75 |
| 2023-02-28 | @ | West Ala. | L | 73 - 84 |
2023 Roster
No roster data available for this season.