Union Commonwealth
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2021 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 918 (#414) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 899 (#532) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.5 (#431) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.000 (#745) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.031 (#702) | AdjNet -29.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.029 (#700) | AdjNet -29.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.118 (#688) | AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 92.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.377 (#476) | AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 76.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.344 (#435) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.339 (#439) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 876 (#396) | RD 102 | GP 22 |
2021 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-12-11 | @ | Christian Brothers | W | 74 - 70 |
| 2020-12-12 | @ | Christian Brothers | W | 61 - 49 |
| 2020-12-18 | vs | UAH | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2020-12-19 | vs | UAH | L | 67 - 70 |
| 2021-01-08 | @ | Delta St. | W | 92 - 79 |
| 2021-01-09 | @ | Delta St. | W | 79 - 74 |
| 2021-01-15 | vs | West Ala. | W | 61 - 58 |
| 2021-01-16 | vs | West Ala. | L | 67 - 73 |
| 2021-01-22 | @ | Mississippi Col. | W | 75 - 61 |
| 2021-01-23 | @ | Mississippi Col. | L | 57 - 89 |
| 2021-01-29 | @ | West Ala. | W | 59 - 55 |
| 2021-01-30 | @ | West Ala. | W | 66 - 54 |
| 2021-02-05 | vs | Mississippi Col. | - | Preview |
| 2021-02-06 | vs | Mississippi Col. | - | Preview |
| 2021-02-12 | vs | Delta St. | L | 72 - 90 |
| 2021-02-13 | vs | Delta St. | W | 75 - 69 |
| 2021-02-20 | @ | UAH | L | 61 - 73 |
| 2021-02-21 | @ | UAH | W | 80 - 65 |
| 2021-02-26 | vs | Christian Brothers | L | 66 - 69 |
| 2021-02-27 | vs | Christian Brothers | W | 72 - 67 |
| 2021-03-02 | vs | West Ga. | L | 61 - 77 |
2021 Roster
No roster data available for this season.