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UW-River Falls

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: UW-River Falls
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 981 (#411) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 944 (#439) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 927 (#640) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -5.0 (#193) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -5.6 (#449) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.408 (#521) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.8 More → 0.449 (#375) AdjNet -1.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.9 More → 0.443 (#377) AdjNet -1.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 71.9 More → 0.461 (#383) AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 71.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 70.3 More → 0.460 (#489) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 70.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.390 (#500) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.396 (#499) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 21 More → 957 (#423) RD 105 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Central (IA) L 66 - 68
2025-11-09 @ Wis.-Superior W 63 - 58
2025-11-12 vs Carleton L 76 - 81
2025-11-15 @ Concordia-M'head L 64 - 78
2025-11-19 vs St. Olaf W 86 - 80
2025-11-25 vs Macalester L 81 - 88
2025-12-03 vs North Central (MN) W 87 - 78
2025-12-06 @ Bethany Lutheran L 80 - 82
2025-12-13 @ Hamline L 56 - 67
2025-12-19 @ SUNY Maritime W 75 - 62
2025-12-20 @ Grove City W 55 - 49
2026-01-03 @ Wis.-La Crosse L 72 - 84
2026-01-07 @ Wis.-Stout L 61 - 81
2026-01-10 vs Wis.-Whitewater L 59 - 67
2026-01-14 vs Wis.-Eau Claire W 69 - 47
2026-01-17 @ Wis.-Oshkosh L 86 - 104
2026-01-21 @ Wis.-Stevens Point L 64 - 86
2026-01-24 vs Wis.-Platteville W 68 - 50
2026-01-28 vs Wis.-La Crosse L 75 - 80
2026-02-04 @ Wis.-Eau Claire L 67 - 85
2026-02-07 vs Wis.-Oshkosh L 53 - 62

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jack Leifker - 19 25.6 13.9 5.0 1.1 0.2 0.9 1.6 10.4 9.2 -25 -1.4 -8.9 47.5 0.0 69.4 -0.76 53.7 47.5
Micah Thompson - 20 30.8 11.2 8.1 1.4 0.8 0.2 2.2 8.0 11.7 -24 -1.3 -7.5 58.1 18.2 56.9 1.76 59.7 58.8
Jeremy Wanguhu - 11 27.1 11.0 3.1 3.2 0.9 0.3 1.7 9.1 7.6 -1 -0.1 -0.3 41.0 36.1 83.9 0.34 53.2 47.5
Gavin Ralph - 21 31.2 8.8 5.5 1.8 1.3 0.6 1.0 6.8 10.2 -53 -2.6 -12.8 44.8 32.8 80.4 -0.24 56.7 51.7
Reggie Postel - 21 23.9 7.6 2.2 2.0 1.2 0.2 1.7 7.0 4.6 -87 -4.3 -35.1 39.7 33.7 52.2 -0.9 50.9 50.3
Kyle Steinke - 4 20.8 7.0 2.2 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.8 5.0 6.0 -1 -0.3 -1.4 50.0 33.3 80.0 0.93 63.1 60.0
Owen Havlik - 19 28.6 6.6 2.9 2.1 0.4 0.1 1.3 6.2 4.7 -27 -1.4 -8.6 35.9 25.0 75.0 -0.2 47.0 41.9
Brody Variano - 12 15.0 4.9 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.7 4.2 1.3 0 0.0 0.0 43.1 34.6 66.7 -0.42 53.7 52.0
Reid Tengblad - 21 11.0 4.3 2.5 0.5 0.2 0.9 0.8 3.8 3.8 -15 -0.8 -8.5 43.8 18.2 60.0 0.66 48.3 45.0
Drew Tengblad - 20 12.4 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.6 3.8 2.5 7 0.4 4.4 39.5 36.0 50.0 -0.46 51.7 51.3
Daniel Cleary - 21 8.6 3.2 1.5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.8 2.0 2.6 -21 -1.1 -21.5 51.2 33.3 70.4 -1.35 62.0 57.0
Evan Clausen - 6 4.5 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.2 6 1.0 35.1 42.9 50.0 0 0.46 57.1 57.1
Cody Loegering - 8 10.3 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.8 - - - 50.0 25.0 0 - 56.2 56.2
Ian Johnson - 9 7.4 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.7 0.3 -35 -4.4 -67.3 26.7 0.0 0.0 -0.61 25.9 26.7
Weston Schult - 5 2.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.6 -4 -0.8 -88.9 50.0 0 0 -0.27 50.0 50.0
Evan Rogge - 5 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.0 -5 -1.0 -111.1 0.0 0.0 0 -0.27 0.0 0.0
Chad Herickhoff - 1 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Riley Nelson - 1 1.3 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -3 -0.2 -11.7 0 0 0 -1.38 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG