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UTSA

Season: 2026 2021 2019 2018 2017 2016 2014
Also known as: UTSA
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1019 (#232) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1030 (#228) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1008 (#324) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +33.1 (#27) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#32) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +54.5 More → 0.998 (#21) AdjNet +54.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +54.0 More → 0.999 (#26) AdjNet +54.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.1 | AdjD 49.2 More → 0.956 (#31) AdjO 83.1 | AdjD 49.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 60.0 More → 0.727 (#68) AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 60.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.897 (#32) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.876 (#37) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-15 vs Tex. A&M-Kingsville W 82 - 40

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ereauna Hardaway - 1 21.7 15.0 5.0 8.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 26.0 - - - 83.3 100.0 100.0 - 109.0 108.3
Cheyenne Rowe - 1 16.7 12.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 10.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 100.0 - 57.5 55.0
Mia Hammonds - 1 27.6 12.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 15.0 - - - 50.0 75.0 50.0 - 67.6 68.8
Damara Allen - 1 27.2 10.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 5.0 - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 41.7 41.7
Jayda Holiman - 1 28.4 9.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 11.0 7.0 - - - 36.4 16.7 0 - 40.9 40.9
Emilia Dannebauer - 1 20.9 9.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 9.0 - - - 33.3 0 71.4 - 49.6 33.3
Adriana Robles - 1 23.9 7.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 8.0 - - - 40.0 66.7 50.0 - 59.5 60.0
Idara Udo - 1 20.1 6.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 0.0 - - - 27.3 0.0 0.0 - 26.2 27.3
Sanaa Bean - 1 13.4 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG