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UTSA Roadrunners

Also known as: UTSA Roadrunners
Program History

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

69.5
PPG
80.7
Opp
-11.2
Margin
39.8%
FG%
29.7%
3P%
69.1%
FT%
36.2
RPG
10.9
APG
12.0
TO
82.1
Pace
68.7
AdjO
82.0
AdjD
#333
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 704 (#350) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 718 (#351) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 855 (#694) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -14.1 (#336) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +2.8 (#330) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.083 (#359) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -28.0 More → 0.044 (#340) NetEff -28.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -17.6 More → 0.116 (#331) AdjNet -17.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.7 More → 0.114 (#331) AdjNet -17.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 82.0 More → 0.230 (#333) AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 82.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 78.7 More → 0.312 (#691) AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 78.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.419 (#390) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.380 (#423) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 152 | GP 30 More → 818 (#650) RD 152 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-05 vs College Of Biblical Studies Ambassadors W 97 - 30
2025-11-07 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars L 60 - 77
2025-11-12 @ Texas State Bobcats L 69 - 80
2025-11-15 @ Denver Pioneers W 84 - 79
2025-11-18 vs Southwestern Christian Eagles W 103 - 70
2025-11-24 @ Abilene Christian Wildcats L 50 - 61
2025-11-25 @ Georgia Southern Eagles W 77 - 64
2025-11-30 vs South Alabama Jaguars L 58 - 82
2025-12-07 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 55 - 97
2025-12-13 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 64 - 88
2025-12-17 @ USC Trojans L 70 - 97
2025-12-22 vs Seattle U Redhawks L 68 - 71
2025-12-31 @ Florida Atlantic Owls L 70 - 110
2026-01-03 @ Temple Owls L 57 - 76
2026-01-07 vs Charlotte 49ers L 58 - 74
2026-01-10 vs Tulane Green Wave L 52 - 85
2026-01-14 vs Rice Owls L 73 - 89
2026-01-18 @ Memphis Tigers L 69 - 95
2026-01-21 @ North Texas Mean Green L 62 - 81
2026-01-24 vs Temple Owls L 64 - 70
2026-01-28 vs UAB Blazers L 73 - 83
2026-02-04 @ South Florida Bulls L 88 - 109
2026-02-07 vs North Texas Mean Green L 58 - 81
2026-02-11 @ East Carolina Pirates L 72 - 88
2026-02-15 @ Charlotte 49ers W 88 - 79
2026-02-18 vs Florida Atlantic Owls L 52 - 60
2026-02-22 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 74 - 100
2026-02-25 vs East Carolina Pirates L 81 - 82
2026-03-01 vs Wichita State Shockers L 67 - 84
2026-03-08 @ Rice Owls L 71 - 80

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Simpson J. Simpson - 30 34.6 16.2 4.1 2.4 0.9 0.1 1.8 14.2 7.7 -152 -6.3 -10.3 39.5 30.1 75.0 -0.56 50.4 45.8
A. Nunez A. Nunez G 22 28.5 9.8 2.1 2.8 1.1 0.0 2.0 10.5 3.4 -204 -10.2 -17.8 30.4 25.3 88.5 -1.2 42.0 35.2
Brent Moss Brent Moss - 29 26.8 9.6 4.7 0.9 1.4 0.3 1.0 9.6 6.4 -184 -9.2 -18.6 35.8 32.7 74.4 -0.67 47.1 44.8
Baboucarr Njie Baboucarr Njie - 29 25.5 9.4 5.2 1.5 0.8 1.6 2.4 7.7 8.4 -104 -5.2 -10.3 46.2 6.5 63.5 -0.69 51.0 46.6
Dorian Hayes Dorian Hayes - 26 30.2 8.8 1.8 1.8 0.8 0.1 1.3 8.2 3.8 -222 -10.6 -17.0 33.8 33.3 70.7 -1.99 49.3 46.7
M. Rich M. Rich - 11 15.1 8.1 2.4 0.6 0.5 0.5 1.5 5.7 4.9 -26 -2.4 -8.2 55.6 18.2 70.8 -0.61 60.5 57.1
Kaidon Rayfield Kaidon Rayfield - 26 20.0 6.7 4.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.9 6.1 6.7 -90 -4.5 -11.5 39.0 22.7 56.9 -0.78 45.9 42.1
D. Akitoby D. Akitoby - 24 13.9 5.7 4.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 4.0 6.0 -41 -2.7 -15.0 57.7 40.0 64.5 -0.17 61.5 59.8
Matheo Coffi Matheo Coffi - 30 19.0 3.8 4.8 0.8 0.3 0.7 0.9 3.1 6.5 -81 -3.9 -10.8 50.0 36.8 50.0 -0.27 57.4 57.4
P. Spencer P. Spencer - 4 12.5 3.5 1.0 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.5 3.5 3.2 5 1.2 4.8 35.7 0.0 66.7 -0.02 42.1 35.7
Lj Brown Lj Brown - 18 11.8 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.8 0.0 0.5 2.5 2.1 -53 -4.8 -34.4 31.1 27.8 75.0 -0.4 43.8 42.2
Mo Njie Mo Njie - 20 7.8 1.6 1.9 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.5 1.1 2.4 -68 -3.6 -22.9 52.4 100.0 44.4 -0.37 57.1 59.5
S. Borden S. Borden - 3 6.7 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.3 -50 -16.7 -269.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.18 0.0 0.0
V. Allette V. Allette PG 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jackson Fazande Jackson Fazande - 3 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 -0.3 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG