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2026-11-11

Model Predictions

Model UTSA Roadrunners Seattle U Redhawks Spread Projected
Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
13.3% (#253) 86.7% (#113) Seattle... -12.6 69-81
Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
11.0% (#228) 89.0% (#116) - -
Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
14.6% (#225) 85.4% (#121) - -
Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
9.5% (#326) 90.5% (#110) Seattle... -24.8 -
Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
9.7% (#329) 90.3% (#109) Seattle... -24.6 -
Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
17.1% (#247) 82.9% (#114) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
26.0% (#282) 74.0% (#105) - -
Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
25.8% (#282) 74.2% (#105) - -
Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
11.4% (#289) 88.6% (#104) - -
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
13.0% (#296) 87.0% (#95) - -
Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
19.4% (#282) 80.6% (#116) - -
Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
19.9% (#283) 80.1% (#116) - -
Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
32.8% (#223) 67.2% (#124) - -
Adjusted Context BlendPrior-only ranking with no forecast

2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat UTSA Roadrunners Seattle U Redhawks
Games 2 2
PPG 72.0 76.0
FG% 42.3% 50.9%
3PT% 29.7% 37.9%
FT% 60.0% 70.2%
RPG 26.0 34.5
APG 13.5 9.5
SPG 9.5 8.0
BPG 3.5 3.5
TOPG 11.5 16.0

Efficiency Ratings

Metric UTSA Roadrunners Seattle U Redhawks
Adj. Off Eff 94.8 103.2
Adj. Def Eff 105.2 96.8
Adj. Net Eff -10.5 6.5

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

UTSA Roadrunners Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
KJ Tenner 12.5 1.5 4.5 1.5 0.0 33.0
Preston Turner 10.5 3.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 23.0
Josiah LeGree 10.5 3.0 3.0 0.5 0.5 21.0
Shey Eberwein 11.0 3.5 2.5 1.5 0.5 19.5
Isaiah Watts 5.0 1.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 17.0

Seattle U Redhawks Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Will Heimbrodt 19.0 4.5 3.0 1.0 2.0 32.5
Mason Williams 19.0 4.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 29.5
Junseok Yeo 7.5 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 27.5
Tyler Boston 9.0 2.5 3.5 1.5 0.0 27.5
Halvine Dzellat 11.5 9.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 26.0