Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1019 (#221) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1012 (#277) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1011 (#307) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.0 (#285) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.953 (#155) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.986 (#79) | NetEff +28.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.933 (#174) | AdjNet +22.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.938 (#175) | AdjNet +23.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.806 (#163) | AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 56.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.534 (#282) | AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 63.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.591 (#272) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.583 (#276) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1089 (#123) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-06 | vs | Western N.M. | W | 75 - 58 |
| 2023-11-14 | vs | Tex. A&M-Kingsville | W | 63 - 55 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jane Asinde | - | 2 | 19.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 45.8 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 48.8 | 45.8 |
| Erin Wilson | - | 2 | 25.5 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 100.0 | 33.3 | -0.23 | 68.9 | 79.2 |
| Mahri Petree | - | 2 | 26.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5 | 6.5 | - | - | - | 42.1 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 49.2 | 44.7 |
| Delma Zita | - | 2 | 32.0 | 9.0 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 11.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 0.16 | 39.3 | 38.6 |
| Adhel Tac | - | 2 | 29.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 0.0 | 54.5 | - | 47.5 | 41.7 |
| Luisa Vydrova | - | 2 | 18.5 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 63.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 63.1 | 63.6 |
| Veonce Powell | - | 2 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | -86 | -10.8 | -19.6 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -1.03 | 40.5 | 38.9 |
| Aaliyah Stanton | - | 2 | 10.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.35 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Mariama Sow | - | 2 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | -1.5 | - | - | - | 14.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 19.0 | 14.3 |
| Ivane Tensaie | - | 2 | 9.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.49 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Thelma Barbitch | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| D'Arrah Allen | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Zhane Thompson | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -32 | -6.4 | -25.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.34 | 0 | 0 |
| Dunja Zecevic | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.55 | 0 | 0 |
| Aspen Salazar | - | 2 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 31 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG