Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1131 (#78) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1005 (#249) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +31.2 (#18) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.995 (#39) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.994 (#9) | AdjNet +43.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.994 (#11) | AdjNet +43.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.958 (#11) | AdjO 95.7 | AdjD 61.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.754 (#35) | AdjO 84.7 | AdjD 72.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.913 (#7) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.879 (#13) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1089 (#131) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | vs | UT Permian Basin | W | 98 - 56 |
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Western N.M. | W | 107 - 70 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreese Watson | - | 1 | 19.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 20.0 | 37 | 4.6 | 91.5 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 62.5 | -0.89 | 78.8 | 83.3 |
| Elijah Jones | - | 2 | 17.5 | 14.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 15 | 1.5 | 16.3 | 61.1 | 0.0 | 77.8 | 1.67 | 66.0 | 61.1 |
| Jamal West Jr. | - | 2 | 21.4 | 13.5 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 14.5 | 125 | 6.9 | 53.9 | 78.6 | 0 | 62.5 | 2.11 | 77.1 | 78.6 |
| Kaseem Watson | - | 2 | 18.9 | 12.0 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 25.0 | 71.4 | - | 56.9 | 52.8 |
| David Tubek | - | 2 | 13.9 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 7.5 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 53.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 59.8 | 60.0 |
| KJ Thomas | - | 2 | 18.4 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | -22 | -2.8 | -61.2 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.01 | 65.4 | 66.7 |
| Caleb Blackwell | - | 2 | 25.4 | 8.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 27.8 | 14.3 | 85.7 | - | 40.3 | 30.6 |
| LA Hayes | - | 2 | 17.9 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 63.6 | 25.0 | 66.7 | - | 69.0 | 68.2 |
| Cassius Brooks | - | 2 | 16.9 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.5 | 71 | 4.7 | 40.0 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -0.82 | 90.1 | 87.5 |
| C.J. Smith | - | 2 | 7.6 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -9 | -0.8 | -16.1 | 75.0 | 66.7 | 75.0 | -0.11 | 95.5 | 100.0 |
| Mouhamed Mbaye | - | 2 | 9.9 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 47.0 | 50.0 |
| Jordan Hernandez | - | 2 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Bobby Montgomery Jr. | - | 2 | 13.1 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 115 | 5.2 | 37.2 | 33.3 | 0 | 16.7 | 1.14 | 26.6 | 33.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG