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UT Permian Basin

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: UT Permian Basin
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1040 (#149) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1096 (#97) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1017 (#265) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +8.1 (#93) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +6.7 (#251) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.738 (#275) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +4.4 More → 0.644 (#231) NetEff +4.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.9 More → 0.898 (#207) AdjNet +18.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.7 More → 0.911 (#203) AdjNet +19.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 59.0 More → 0.754 (#208) AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 59.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 59.1 More → 0.550 (#251) AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 59.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.647 (#234) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.628 (#246) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 22 More → 1007 (#245) RD 104 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs MSU Denver W 66 - 53
2025-11-16 vs Colorado Mesa L 49 - 57
2025-11-21 @ Southern Ark. L 53 - 75
2025-11-22 @ Southern Nazarene W 49 - 47
2025-11-28 @ N.M. Highlands W 57 - 53
2025-11-29 @ Adams St. L 50 - 61
2025-12-03 @ Lubbock Christian L 59 - 65
2025-12-05 @ Midwestern St. W 68 - 45
2025-12-11 vs Tex. A&M-Kingsville W 67 - 54
2025-12-13 vs Tex. A&M Int'l W 77 - 71
2025-12-16 vs Arlington Baptist W 83 - 34
2025-12-20 vs UCCS W 70 - 68
2026-01-02 vs Texas Woman's L 59 - 73
2026-01-10 @ Cameron W 49 - 47
2026-01-13 @ Angelo St. W 76 - 67
2026-01-17 vs Texas-Dallas L 69 - 73
2026-01-22 @ Tex. A&M Int'l L 49 - 57
2026-01-29 vs Angelo St. L 51 - 60
2026-02-05 vs Sul Ross St. W 75 - 54
2026-02-07 vs Western N.M. W 71 - 60

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kenadi Rising - 20 29.5 9.6 5.2 1.6 0.9 0.1 1.9 8.6 6.9 28 1.3 7.4 39.8 27.1 84.8 2.05 49.9 44.4
Mikalah Buckley - 20 20.5 8.7 2.5 1.4 0.8 0.1 1.9 7.7 4.0 0 0.0 0.0 43.8 35.7 76.0 3.49 52.7 50.3
Madison Walters - 20 24.8 8.5 4.4 1.6 1.9 0.2 1.6 7.0 8.0 77 3.5 16.7 43.3 27.6 69.2 1.28 53.7 50.7
Jasmin Holt - 19 16.1 6.5 3.3 1.4 1.5 0.1 1.5 6.0 5.2 -15 -0.8 -7.2 39.5 19.0 74.3 -3.54 47.9 43.0
Jonesha Neal - 20 25.4 6.2 3.8 2.1 1.1 0.1 2.8 4.3 6.2 -15 -0.7 -3.9 41.9 41.7 67.2 -0.07 54.5 47.7
Arial Ford - 2 22.9 5.5 8.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.5 11.0 -12 -6.0 -6.7 71.4 0 50.0 0.75 69.8 71.4
Waikimihia Douglas-Karauna - 19 17.5 5.3 3.1 0.8 0.6 0.1 1.6 3.7 4.6 9 0.4 5.6 60.6 44.4 52.4 -0.91 62.9 63.4
Ja'Nya Thomas - 20 17.8 4.7 2.5 1.3 1.2 0.1 2.0 4.2 3.5 -35 -1.6 -25.0 32.1 25.0 73.2 -1.49 45.6 37.5
Juliet Esomchukwu - 19 16.1 3.6 2.8 0.5 0.9 0.1 0.9 2.8 4.2 82 4.1 34.4 43.4 18.2 60.6 1.45 50.4 45.3
Pa'Shawna Wheeler - 16 9.0 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.3 3.1 1.1 -55 -3.2 -69.0 30.6 31.8 83.3 -0.7 40.7 37.8
Crystal Jones - 20 9.4 2.5 2.8 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 2.4 2.6 -31 -1.3 -19.2 45.8 0.0 46.7 0.04 46.7 45.8
Rihanna DeLeon - 17 7.7 2.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 2.7 0.2 52 2.9 37.0 28.3 28.6 100.0 2.23 44.6 41.3
Ryliegh Hackman - 4 4.3 2.2 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.5 14 3.5 425.3 75.0 0 75.0 0.11 78.1 75.0
Alondra Reyes - 20 5.9 1.7 1.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.8 1.9 0.9 18 0.9 29.6 37.8 18.2 66.7 -1.51 42.9 40.5
Camille Torrence - 7 4.9 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.7 13 1.9 144.4 14.3 0 100.0 0.49 41.5 14.3
Lyric Barr - 6 3.5 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.0 0.7 0.7 -6 -0.8 -77.8 75.0 0 0 -1.32 75.0 75.0
Ana Lazarevic - 5 4.6 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -0.87 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG