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UT Martin

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: UT Martin Skyhawks
Program History
Coach: Kevin McMillan

2016 Team Stats (9 games)

70.3
PPG
74.1
Opp
-3.8
Margin
45.7%
FG%
36.8%
3P%
79.6%
FT%
28.9
RPG
15.2
APG
13.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.5
Adj PPG
61.4
Adj Opp PPG
#88
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1201 (#80) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1125 (#95) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +74 elo More → 1100 (#65) HCA +74 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +8.2 (#95) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +9.3 (#79) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.842 (#38) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.6 More → 0.793 (#97) AdjNet +11.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.7 More → 0.796 (#97) AdjNet +11.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 61.4 More → 0.678 (#88) AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 61.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 60.6 More → 0.693 (#44) AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 60.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.731 (#82) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.734 (#77) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 119 | GP 32 More → 1138 (#90) RD 119 | GP 32

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-14 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 84 - 58
2015-11-15 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 56 - 62
2015-11-18 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves L 74 - 76
2015-11-21 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 74 - 94
2015-11-25 @ Southern Illinois Salukis W 70 - 63
2015-11-28 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 46 - 61
2015-12-02 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 83 - 65
2015-12-05 vs Samford Bulldogs W 52 - 50
2015-12-12 @ Evansville Purple Aces W 75 - 48
2015-12-15 vs Miami (OH) RedHawks W 74 - 47
2015-12-18 @ Cincinnati Bearcats W 63 - 57
2015-12-21 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 61 - 64
2015-12-28 @ Louisville Cardinals L 66 - 88
2016-01-07 @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 61 - 70
2016-01-09 @ Morehead State Eagles W 85 - 67
2016-01-13 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 67 - 53
2016-01-16 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 63 - 53
2016-01-20 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers W 65 - 39
2016-01-23 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks - Postponed
2016-01-24 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 84 - 74
2016-01-27 vs Tennessee State Lady Tigers W 77 - 50
2016-01-30 vs Murray State Racers W 92 - 62
2016-02-03 vs Austin Peay Governors W 75 - 51
2016-02-06 @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 85 - 79
2016-02-10 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 95 - 65
2016-02-13 @ Austin Peay Governors L 70 - 80
2016-02-15 vs Belmont Bruins W 81 - 79
2016-02-20 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 86 - 50
2016-02-24 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 91 - 52
2016-02-27 @ Murray State Racers W 70 - 49
2016-03-02 vs Murray State Racers L 76 - 78
2016-03-17 @ Memphis Tigers W 79 - 73
2016-03-21 @ Western Kentucky Lady Toppers L 57 - 64

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Ruffin D. Ruffin G 5 30.2 17.2 6.0 3.2 1.6 0.6 3.2 11.6 13.8 - - - - 53.4 33.3 84.6 - 61.9 55.2
H. Howard H. Howard F 9 31.6 13.0 4.6 2.8 1.0 0.3 2.0 11.1 8.6 251 21 12.0 16.1 42.0 37.5 92.3 4.99 55.3 52.5
K. Schubert K. Schubert G 9 37.2 10.9 3.9 4.1 1.1 0.2 1.7 8.1 10.4 260 21 12.4 14.6 43.8 42.5 85.0 4.98 59.9 55.5
J. Ellison J. Ellison - 9 32.4 10.4 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.9 10.8 1.8 137 21 6.5 9.6 34.0 32.4 83.3 -1.2 47.2 45.9
S. Copney S. Copney F 6 18.3 9.5 3.3 1.7 1.7 0.0 2.3 7.3 6.5 107 16 6.7 14.9 59.1 37.5 50.0 1.83 62.3 62.5
C. Roberts C. Roberts F 9 30.9 9.2 5.9 2.0 0.6 0.2 2.0 6.3 9.6 195 21 9.3 13.8 54.4 50.0 73.3 2.41 65.3 63.2
M. Taylor M. Taylor G 9 13.1 5.6 1.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.0 4.7 2.1 90 21 4.3 9.8 42.9 32.0 54.5 -2.24 53.4 52.4
E. Robertson E. Robertson G 9 24.6 5.3 2.7 2.1 1.0 0.1 2.0 4.2 5.0 172 21 8.2 14.4 52.6 20.0 87.5 -1.04 57.8 53.9
B. Taylor B. Taylor F 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -18 6 -3.0 -43.0 0 0 0 -2.78 0 0
Dakota Smith Dakota Smith F 3 3.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Tory Reedy Tory Reedy G 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG