Model Predictions
| Model | UT Martin Skyhawks | Western Kentucky Lady Toppers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Kentucky Lady Toppers +7 (64-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Schubert * | 40 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | -1.3 |
| J. Ward * | 38 | 3-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -2 | -3.9 |
| Emanye Robertson * | 38 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -8.0 |
| Haley Howard * | 37 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +5.2 |
| Chelsea Roberts * | 22 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -13.7 |
| Shy Copney | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Myah Taylor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Tory Reedy | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Western Kentucky Lady Toppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tashia Brown * | 40 | 12-22 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 14 | +9.6 |
| Kendall Noble * | 39 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 5-7 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 20 | +17.0 |
| Jalynn McClain * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +11.1 |
| Kayla Smith * | 34 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +18.1 |
| Ivy Brown * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +17.0 |
| Ima Akpan | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -7.0 |
| Sidnee Bopp | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -15.0 |
| Dee Givens | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -9.7 |
* = starter