USC Upstate
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2020 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1011 (#231) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1020 (#303) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 980 (#356) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1045 (#195) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.7 (#141) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +14.9 (#158) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#28) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.358 (#514) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.988 (#122) | AdjNet +37.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.561 (#362) | AdjNet +2.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.993 (#108) | AdjNet +38.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.559 (#361) | AdjNet +2.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.958 (#71) | AdjO 93.0 | AdjD 58.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.523 (#359) | AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 60.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.784 (#68) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 54.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.762 (#159) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.764 (#150) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1066 (#234) | RD 126 | GP 23 |
2020 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-11-05 | @ | Santa Clara | L | 51 - 109 |
| 2019-11-08 | vs | Cal Maritime | W | 48 - 34 |
| 2019-11-10 | vs | Whittier | L | 63 - 83 |
| 2019-11-16 | @ | Willamette | L | 70 - 78 |
| 2019-11-17 | @ | George Fox | L | 51 - 90 |
| 2019-11-22 | @ | Whittier | L | 53 - 55 |
| 2019-11-23 | @ | Caltech | W | 74 - 50 |
| 2019-11-29 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | L | 70 - 73 |
| 2019-12-01 | vs | Birmingham-So. | W | 81 - 69 |
| 2019-12-06 | vs | Puget Sound | W | 68 - 67 |
| 2019-12-08 | vs | Howard Payne | W | 82 - 58 |
| 2019-12-17 | vs | Monmouth (IL) | L | 57 - 59 |
| 2019-12-19 | vs | Transylvania | L | 61 - 74 |
| 2019-12-28 | vs | Pacific (OR) | L | 59 - 67 |
| 2019-12-30 | vs | Dubuque | W | 80 - 54 |
| 2020-01-12 | vs | Bethesda (CA) | W | 82 - 34 |
| 2020-01-13 | vs | Cal Lutheran | L | 79 - 81 |
| 2020-01-18 | @ | Chico St. | W | 55 - 45 |
| 2020-01-25 | @ | Pomona-Pitzer | L | 62 - 71 |
| 2020-01-26 | @ | Westcliff | W | 105 - 68 |
| 2020-01-30 | @ | Pacific Union | W | 100 - 80 |
| 2020-02-02 | vs | Simpson (CA) | L | 62 - 67 |
| 2020-02-08 | @ | Bethesda (CA) | W | 79 - 42 |
| 2020-02-09 | @ | St. Katherine | W | 81 - 56 |
| 2020-02-21 | vs | Westcliff | W | 59 - 54 |
| 2020-02-29 | @ | Mount Mary | W | 74 - 55 |
| 2020-03-01 | vs | Finlandia | L | 33 - 52 |
2020 Roster
No roster data available for this season.