USC Aiken
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 931 (#348) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1035 (#207) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 986 (#368) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.5 (#190) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.1 (#294) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.703 (#214) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.991 (#88) | NetEff +41.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.842 (#203) | AdjNet +14.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.844 (#206) | AdjNet +14.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.737 (#197) | AdjO 82.6 | AdjD 71.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.537 (#234) | AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 72.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.562 (#274) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.553 (#274) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1023 (#197) | RD 95 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | UNC Pembroke | W | 75 - 72 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Catawba | L | 52 - 90 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Virginia-Lynchburg | W | 132 - 50 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Newberry | W | 94 - 69 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Erskine | W | 96 - 64 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Fayetteville St. | L | 80 - 84 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | USC Beaufort | W | 74 - 73 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Middle Georgia | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Flagler | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | North Georgia | L | 78 - 98 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Francis Marion | W | 95 - 86 |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Emmanuel (GA) | L | 69 - 81 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Lander | L | 70 - 84 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Columbus St. | L | 65 - 66 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Georgia College | L | 67 - 71 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Augusta | W | 75 - 71 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Clayton St. | W | 90 - 79 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Ga. Southwestern | L | 76 - 92 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | USC Beaufort | L | 71 - 83 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Middle Georgia | W | 92 - 76 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | North Georgia | L | 64 - 78 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Flagler | W | 65 - 59 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Turner | - | 1 | 22.0 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 52 | 3.5 | 24.4 | 78.6 | 0 | 0 | 1.21 | 78.6 | 78.6 |
| Ezekiel Cannedy | - | 1 | 29.0 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 77 | 4.1 | 21.7 | 41.2 | 27.3 | 80.0 | 1.61 | 54.7 | 50.0 |
| AJ Baskerville | - | 1 | 23.0 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 68 | 4.2 | 57.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 83.3 | -0.87 | 71.2 | 65.0 |
| Caleb Byrd | - | 9 | 32.4 | 17.6 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 12.6 | 9.7 | -67 | -5.2 | -76.6 | 46.0 | 40.4 | 79.5 | -0.06 | 60.7 | 56.2 |
| Javonte Waverly | - | 1 | 32.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 1.0 | 32 | 2.7 | 37.5 | 36.8 | 12.5 | 33.3 | -0.27 | 39.4 | 39.5 |
| Jonah Lawrence | - | 16 | 29.2 | 15.7 | 5.4 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 8.9 | 14.4 | -32 | -2.0 | -40.2 | 47.2 | 37.7 | 80.2 | 0.34 | 64.3 | 54.2 |
| Mccaskill Rivers | - | 16 | 25.6 | 13.7 | 5.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 11.1 | 7.8 | -42 | -3.0 | -46.3 | 43.8 | 30.8 | 81.0 | 0.66 | 53.2 | 47.2 |
| Tymoteusz Pszczola | - | 2 | 21.5 | 11.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 9.0 | 7.5 | -52 | -2.9 | -22.9 | 50.0 | 45.5 | 0 | -2.74 | 63.9 | 63.9 |
| Cole Deptula | - | 1 | 29.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | -33 | -1.7 | -26.2 | 22.2 | 22.2 | 66.7 | 0.22 | 43.0 | 33.3 |
| Romeo Aquino | - | 1 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 11 | 0.6 | 3.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -1.23 | 43.0 | 33.3 |
| Adonis Cole | - | 1 | 30.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | -102 | -5.1 | -101.8 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 0.3 | 61.5 | 66.7 |
| Joe'l Pettiford | - | 1 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 15 | 0.8 | 10.5 | 60.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.41 | 58.9 | 60.0 |
| Rahdir Hicks | - | 1 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | -40 | -2.5 | -11.1 | 25.0 | 28.6 | 0 | -0.46 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Melvin Teal Jr | - | 2 | 19.5 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 6.5 | 6.5 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 50.0 | 60.0 | - | 52.6 | 50.0 |
| Dallas Whitney | - | 1 | 21.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 100 | 5.3 | 39.0 | 60.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 4.23 | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Boom Reeves | - | 2 | 17.5 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 10.0 | 14 | 0.8 | 6.4 | 77.8 | 0 | 0 | 0.62 | 77.8 | 77.8 |
| Jake Stephens | - | 1 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 5 | 0.4 | 5.1 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | -1.41 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| William Asken | - | 1 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -33 | -1.6 | -61.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.42 | 63.0 | 33.3 |
| Darius Boben | - | 1 | 29.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 28 | 1.5 | 9.6 | 37.5 | 0 | 0 | -2.12 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Jonathan Kurtas | - | 1 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 91 | 4.8 | 73.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.15 | 41.0 | 33.3 |
| Montraivis White | - | 8 | 18.1 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 6.0 | 2.4 | -24 | -2.7 | -344.9 | 27.1 | 28.6 | 87.5 | -1.13 | 41.8 | 33.3 |
| Josiah Harding | - | 9 | 22.5 | 5.7 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 6.8 | 2.6 | -16 | -1.0 | -19.7 | 26.2 | 16.0 | 46.9 | 2.3 | 34.0 | 29.5 |
| Clyde Mauldin | - | 1 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | -32 | -1.8 | -36.4 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.68 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Ibrahim Kourouma | - | 1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -10 | -0.6 | -5.7 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -1.97 | 51.2 | 37.5 |
| Johnniyus Sharpe | - | 1 | 7.6 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 66.7 | - | 57.9 | 50.0 |
| William Vasser Jr | - | 7 | 12.4 | 4.9 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.0 | 3.4 | - | - | - | 39.3 | 47.4 | 42.9 | - | 54.7 | 55.4 |
| Deandre Smart | - | 9 | 13.0 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 4.8 | 38 | 3.5 | 145.2 | 55.2 | 0 | 76.9 | 0.19 | 60.5 | 55.2 |
| TJ Jackson | - | 5 | 11.2 | 4.4 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 17 | 2.8 | 30.7 | 43.8 | 37.5 | 71.4 | 0.59 | 57.7 | 53.1 |
| Cooper Kowalski | - | 1 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Zack Hawkinson | - | 1 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 77 | 4.8 | 38.5 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.41 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Hoku Fisher | - | 2 | 26.5 | 4.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | -90 | -5.0 | -39.3 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 57.1 | -0.27 | 26.5 | 16.7 |
| Jameel Rideout | - | 1 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -1.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 3.13 | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Jaiden Cancela | - | 1 | 31.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | -8 | -0.5 | -29.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.49 | 22.2 | 0.0 |
| Chedlet Delva | - | 16 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 6.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 8.4 | -51 | -3.6 | -72.6 | 55.6 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.43 | 55.8 | 55.6 |
| Jackson Roberts | - | 16 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 4.6 | -26 | -1.9 | -74.0 | 75.0 | 0 | 37.5 | 0.1 | 68.5 | 75.0 |
| Brock Cherry | - | 8 | 8.0 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 0.9 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 21.4 | 57.1 | - | 43.6 | 40.5 |
| Stephen Akwiwu | - | 1 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 43 | 3.9 | 35.5 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.28 | 25.8 | 33.3 |
| Chris Cole | - | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Aidan Harris | - | 1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -9 | -0.9 | -12.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.25 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Cam Perkins | - | 5 | 15.6 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.0 | -1.6 | - | - | - | 10.0 | 15.4 | 66.7 | - | 18.8 | 15.0 |
| Jevon Brown | - | 1 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 92 | 4.8 | 44.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.11 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Tyler Gill | - | 1 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.44 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Duncan Alevok | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -2.0 | -13 | -0.7 | -16.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.43 | 0 | 0 |
| Chase Allen | - | 2 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0 |
| Steven Lassiter | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -17 | -1.5 | -126.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG