🐻⬇️🏀

USC Aiken

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: USC Aiken
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 944 (#189) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1033 (#144) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 986 (#368) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +4.7 (#170) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +2.1 (#294) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.703 (#70) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +41.8 More → 0.991 (#83) NetEff +41.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.5 More → 0.842 (#81) AdjNet +14.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.5 More → 0.844 (#84) AdjNet +14.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.6 | AdjD 71.2 More → 0.737 (#80) AdjO 82.6 | AdjD 71.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 72.8 More → 0.537 (#234) AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 72.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.562 (#274) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.553 (#274) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 22 More → 1019 (#207) RD 95 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs UNC Pembroke W 75 - 72
2025-11-16 @ Catawba L 52 - 90
2025-11-19 vs Virginia-Lynchburg W 132 - 50
2025-11-22 @ Newberry W 94 - 69
2025-11-25 vs Erskine W 96 - 64
2025-11-29 vs Fayetteville St. L 80 - 84
2025-12-03 vs USC Beaufort W 74 - 73
2025-12-06 @ Middle Georgia W 68 - 65
2025-12-13 @ Flagler L 63 - 67
2025-12-17 vs North Georgia L 78 - 98
2025-12-20 vs Francis Marion W 95 - 86
2025-12-31 @ Emmanuel (GA) L 69 - 81
2026-01-03 @ Lander L 70 - 84
2026-01-07 vs Columbus St. L 65 - 66
2026-01-10 vs Georgia College L 67 - 71
2026-01-14 @ Augusta W 75 - 71
2026-01-17 vs Clayton St. W 90 - 79
2026-01-21 vs Ga. Southwestern L 76 - 92
2026-01-24 @ USC Beaufort - Incomplete score
2026-01-30 vs Middle Georgia - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 @ North Georgia L 64 - 78
2026-02-07 vs Flagler W 65 - 59
2026-02-11 @ Georgia College L 76 - 87
2026-02-14 vs Augusta L 74 - 80
2026-02-18 @ Columbus St. L 74 - 87
2026-02-21 vs Lander L 68 - 77
2026-02-25 @ Ga. Southwestern W 80 - 79
2026-02-28 @ Clayton St. W 83 - 71
2026-03-04 @ Lander L 81 - 91

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Caleb Byrd - 13 32.8 17.5 4.3 1.5 1.4 0.0 1.9 12.8 9.9 - - - - 44.6 37.1 80.7 - 59.4 54.5
Jonah Lawrence - 26 29.3 14.5 5.6 3.4 1.4 0.2 2.2 9.8 13.2 - - - - 40.0 30.5 77.6 - 55.7 44.9
Mccaskill Rivers - 26 24.9 12.2 4.8 1.2 0.3 0.2 1.5 10.7 6.6 - - - - 41.4 32.8 77.9 - 50.3 45.1
TJ Jackson - 9 19.6 9.9 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.0 1.1 7.4 3.8 - - - - 40.3 38.3 77.3 - 58.0 53.7
Josiah Harding - 12 20.4 5.6 3.3 0.8 1.0 0.1 1.6 6.6 2.7 - - - - 29.1 17.6 46.9 - 36.0 32.9
Montraivis White - 9 16.1 5.1 1.4 1.9 0.9 0.0 1.9 5.3 2.1 - - - - 27.1 28.6 87.5 - 41.8 33.3
Johnniyus Sharpe - 1 7.6 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 - - - - 33.3 33.3 66.7 - 57.9 50.0
William Vasser Jr - 11 9.5 4.1 1.8 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.5 3.2 2.8 - - - - 42.9 50.0 42.9 - 59.1 60.0
Deandre Smart - 13 11.5 3.9 2.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.7 2.7 4.0 - - - - 54.3 0 72.2 - 59.4 54.3
Chedlet Delva - 26 20.8 3.2 7.0 0.4 0.2 1.1 0.6 2.4 8.9 - - - - 53.2 0 58.1 - 55.5 53.2
Jackson Roberts - 26 10.5 2.7 3.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 1.6 4.6 - - - - 69.0 0 50.0 - 66.6 69.0
Brock Cherry - 11 9.0 2.1 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.3 2.4 1.5 - - - - 30.8 17.6 57.1 - 39.5 36.5
Cam Perkins - 6 13.0 1.3 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.0 3.3 -1.3 - - - - 10.0 15.4 66.7 - 18.8 15.0
Chase Allen - 3 2.6 0.0 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.3 - - - - 0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG